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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Hellas Verona — Parma

Match Hellas Verona vs Parma November 23, 2025

Italy   /   Serie A
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
Home · last 5 D D L D L
Kick-off
Sun 23 Nov · 11:30
1:2
Full-time
Parma
Parma
W L L L W Away · last 5
Referee Luca Pairetto, Italy
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 50% · book 2.40
Miss
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 40% · book 2.71
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 67% · book 1.60
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
0.61 – 1.37
Δ −0.76
Possession
59% – 41%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Verona holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a modest home advantage, suggesting they can control the tempo against Parma. Despite Verona's recent struggles, their defensive solidity could frustrate Parma's attack, which has been inconsistent. Expect a cautious game with limited clear-cut chances, as both sides show defensive resilience.

  • Home side's defensive strength versus away's moderate offense
  • Recent form favors Parma slightly but with low confidence
  • Odds and xG hint at a low-scoring, tactical encounter

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

VER 3-5-2 · PAR 3-5-2
Subs used · VER
46' Musrati ↑ · Akpa Akpro
54' Mosquera ↑ · Bernede
64' Nunez ↑ · Nelsson
64' Sarr ↑ · Orban
88' Harroui ↑ · Bella-Kotchap
Subs used · PAR
77' Benedyczak ↑ · Cutrone
77' Valeri ↑ · Britschgi
85' Estevez ↑ · Bernabe

📊 Statistics

VER 12 PAR
59%
Possession (%)
41%
0.61
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.37
10
Total Shots
15
2
Shots on Target
7
3
Shots off Target
3
5
Shots Inside Box
7
4
Corner Kicks
4
5
Offsides
1
24
Fouls
6
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
74%
4
Yellow Cards
3
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

18 · 1 – 2
8'
Enrico Del Prato
Yellow Card
18'
M. Pellegrino
0–1
39'
Mateo Pellegrino
Yellow Card
Giovane
Yellow Card
42'
Half-time · 0 – 1
Al Musrati ↓ · J. Akpa Akpro ↑
Substitution 1
46'
48'
Sascha Britschgi
Yellow Card
D. Mosquera ↓ · A. Bernede ↑
Substitution 2
54'
Mutassim Al-Musrati
Yellow Card
55'
U. Nunez ↓ · V. Nelsson ↑
Substitution 3
64'
A. Sarr ↓ · G. Orban ↑
Substitution 4
64'
Giovane
Assist · D. Mosquera · 1–1
65'
Roberto Gagliardini
Yellow Card
70'
77'
A. Benedyczak ↓ · P. Cutrone ↑
Substitution 1
77'
E. Valeri ↓ · S. Britschgi ↑
Substitution 2
80'
M. Pellegrino
1–2
85'
N. Estevez ↓ · A. Bernabe ↑
Substitution 3
A. Harroui ↓ · A. Bella-Kotchap ↑
Substitution 5
88'
Martin Frese
Yellow Card
89'
Full-time · 1 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.40 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.71 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.60 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.79 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.60 33% Cashed +1.60 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.11 40% Cashed +1.11 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.66 50% Cashed +0.66 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.60 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.49 21% Cashed +1.49 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.35 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.52 60% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
Draw 3.17 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 8.00 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.20 85% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.12 86% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Over 3.5 5.40 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.70 21% Cashed +2.70 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −0.60u −4% ROI