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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A AS Roma — Udinese

Match AS Roma vs Udinese November 9, 2025

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
AS Roma
AS Roma
Home · last 5 W W W W W
Kick-off
Sun 09 Nov · 17:00
2:0
Full-time
Udinese
Udinese
D W W L L Away · last 5
Referee Giuseppe Collu, Italy
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.88
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 62% · book 1.62
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 56% · book 1.77
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
1.56 – 1.12
Δ +0.44
Possession
58% – 42%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.88 — +8.2% better than the market.

AS Roma holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a moderate home advantage, suggesting control over the match tempo. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Udinese's less robust backline, hinting at a pressing edge for the hosts. Roma's recent form shows some inconsistency, but Udinese's steadier results away suggest a compact block that could limit clear chances.

  • Roma's defensive strength vs Udinese's attack
  • Home momentum with mild advantage
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.88 ✓ Cashed
AI 58% Implied 53% +0.88u
+88%
ROI on stake

Lineups

ROM 3-4-2-1 · UDI 3-5-2
Subs used · ROM
43' Baldanzi ↑ · Dovbyk
74' El Aynaoui ↑ · Pellegrini
74' El Shaarawy ↑ · Soule
90' Ziolkowski ↑ · Franca
90' Ghilardi ↑ · Celik
Subs used · UDI
54' Palma ↑ · Kabasele
72' Piotrowski ↑ · Karlstrom
72' Davis ↑ · Buksa
82' Zemura ↑ · Kamara
82' Bayo ↑ · Zaniolo

📊 Statistics

ROM 20 UDI
58%
Possession (%)
42%
1.56
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.12
13
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
2
Shots off Target
1
11
Shots Inside Box
7
3
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
0
13
Fouls
14
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
78%
2
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

15 · 2 – 0
Bryan Cristante
Yellow Card
28'
L. Pellegrini (P)
Penalty · 1–0
42'
T. Baldanzi ↓ · A. Dovbyk ↑
Substitution 1
43'
Lorenzo Pellegrini
Yellow Card
45+4'
Half-time · 1 – 0
54'
M. Palma ↓ · C. Kabasele ↑
Substitution 1
Z. Celik
Assist · G. Mancini · 2–0
61'
62'
Jesper Karlström
Yellow Card
72'
J. Piotrowski ↓ · J. Karlstrom ↑
Substitution 2
72'
K. Davis ↓ · A. Buksa ↑
Substitution 3
N. El Aynaoui ↓ · L. Pellegrini ↑
Substitution 2
74'
S. El Shaarawy ↓ · M. Soule ↑
Substitution 3
74'
82'
J. Zemura ↓ · H. Kamara ↑
Substitution 4
82'
V. Bayo ↓ · N. Zaniolo ↑
Substitution 5
J. Ziolkowski ↓ · Wesley Franca ↑
Substitution 4
90'
D. Ghilardi ↓ · Z. Celik ↑
Substitution 5
90'
Full-time · 2 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.88 58% Cashed +0.88 Cashed
Home Win 1.62 62% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
BTTS No 1.77 56% Cashed +0.77 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.48 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.14 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.07 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.45 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.15 84% Cashed +0.15 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.21 62% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
Under 0.5 10.50 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.32 78% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Away Win 6.50 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.07 90% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Draw 4.20 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.36 68% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.75 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.83 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.62u −33% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
ROM – UDI @ 1.88
+8.2%
Edge
Forecast →