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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Bournemouth — Burnley

Match Bournemouth vs Burnley December 20, 2025

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Home · last 5 D W W D D
Kick-off
Sat 20 Dec · 15:00
1:1
Full-time
Burnley
Burnley
L L D L D Away · last 5
Vitality Stadium · Bournemouth Referee Chris Kavanagh, England
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 49% · book 2.22
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 51% · book 2.05
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 49% · book 1.90
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.71 – 0.38
Δ +1.33
Possession
65% – 35%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Bournemouth holds a clear quality edge over Burnley, boosted by a stronger home form and a more potent attack against Burnley's leaky defense. Despite recent draws and losses, Bournemouth's home momentum and pressing edge should challenge Burnley's struggling lineup, which has failed to secure points recently. The match hints at a moderate pace with balanced goal expectations, favoring a controlled but assertive home performance.

  • Bournemouth's home strength and offensive edge
  • Burnley's poor recent form and defensive vulnerabilities
  • Moderate tempo suggesting tactical discipline over wild open play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

BOU 4-2-3-1 · BUR 4-4-2
Subs used · BOU
63' Unal ↑ · Evanilson
64' J. Kroupi ↑ · Kluivert
74' Christie ↑ · Brooks
90+2' Scott ↑ · Tavernier
90+3' Adli ↑ · Jimenez
Subs used · BUR
65' Broja ↑ · Flemming
66' Tchaouna ↑ · Bruun Larsen
77' Edwards ↑ · Anthony
77' Sonne ↑ · Walker

📊 Statistics

BOU 11 BUR
65%
Possession (%)
35%
1.71
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.38
16
Total Shots
4
1
Shots on Target
1
12
Shots off Target
1
11
Shots Inside Box
1
5
Corner Kicks
3
2
Offsides
2
11
Fouls
11
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
66%
1
Yellow Cards
1

Match events

14 · 1 – 1
38'
Zian Flemming
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
E. Unal ↓ · Evanilson ↑
Substitution 1
63'
E. J. Kroupi ↓ · J. Kluivert ↑
Substitution 2
64'
65'
A. Broja ↓ · Z. Flemming ↑
Substitution 1
66'
L. Tchaouna ↓ · J. Bruun Larsen ↑
Substitution 2
A. Semenyo
1–0
67'
David Brooks
Yellow Card
74'
R. Christie ↓ · D. Brooks ↑
Substitution 3
74'
77'
M. Edwards ↓ · J. Anthony ↑
Substitution 3
77'
O. Sonne ↓ · K. Walker ↑
Substitution 4
82'
M. Tresor Ndayishimiye ↓ · L. Ugochukwu ↑
Substitution 5
90'
A. Broja
Assist · M. Edwards · 1–1
A. Scott ↓ · M. Tavernier ↑
Substitution 4
90+2'
A. Adli ↓ · A. Jimenez ↑
Substitution 5
90+3'
Full-time · 1 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.22 49% Cashed +1.22 Cashed
BTTS No 2.05 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.90 49% Cashed +0.90 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.77 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.75 31% Cashed +1.75 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.80 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.52 69% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.47 71% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.50 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.14 90% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.19 69% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 15.00 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 93% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Draw 4.70 21% Cashed +3.70 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.24 75% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Away Win 7.00 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 5.17 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −0.53u −3% ROI