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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › England › Premier League › Sunderland — Newcastle

Match Sunderland vs Newcastle December 14, 2025

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Sunderland
Sunderland
Home · last 5 L D D W W
Kick-off
Sun 14 Dec · 14:00
1:0
Full-time
Newcastle
Newcastle
L W D W L Away · last 5
Stadium of Light · Sunderland Referee Peter Bankes, England
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.94 ✓
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 52% · book 2.30 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 53% · book 2.14 ✓
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
0.28 – 0.25
Δ +0.03
Possession
47% – 53%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.94 — +13.3% better than the market.

Newcastle holds a clear quality edge over Sunderland, with stronger offensive and defensive metrics suggesting they can control the game despite Sunderland's home momentum. Sunderland's recent form shows resilience, but Newcastle's pressing and tactical discipline may limit scoring opportunities, pointing to a tight contest.

  • Newcastle's superior overall strength and offensive threat
  • Sunderland's compact defensive block at home
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play over open end-to-end action

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.94 ✓ Cashed
AI 58% Implied 52% +0.94u
+94%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SUN 4-2-3-1 · NEW 4-3-3
SUN · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · NEW 22 Roefs 20 Mukiele 5 Ballard 15 Alderete 17 Mandava 34 Xhaka 27 Sadiki 25 Traoré 28 Fée 7 Talbi 9 Brobbey 32 Ramsdale 21 Livramento 12 Thiaw 33 Burn 3 Hall 39 Guimarães 8 Tonali 67 Miley 20 Elanga 27 Woltemade 10 Gordon
Subs used · SUN
70' Hume ↑ · Traore ↓
70' Isidor ↑ · Brobbey ↓
83' Mundle ↑ · Talbi ↓
Subs used · NEW
42' Schar ↑ · Burn ↓
59' Barnes ↑ · Gordon ↓
59' Murphy ↑ · Elanga ↓
59' Willock ↑ · Tonali ↓
75' Wissa ↑ · Woltemade ↓

📊 Statistics

SUN 1 – 0 NEW
47%
Possession (%)
53%
0.28
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.25
5
Total Shots
6
1
Shots on Target
2
2
Shots off Target
1
3
Shots Inside Box
2
3
Corner Kicks
6
10
Fouls
10
77%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
5
Yellow Cards
4
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1

⏱ Match events

18 · 1 – 0
Brian Brobbey
Yellow Card
▮
27'
Nordi Mukiele
Yellow Card
▮
34'
42'
⇄
F. Schar ↓ · D. Burn ↑
Substitution 1
Half-time · 0 – 0
N. Woltemade
Own goal · 1–0
⚽
46'
57'
▮
Sandro Tonali
Yellow Card
Reinildo Mandava
Yellow Card
▮
58'
59'
⇄
H. Barnes ↓ · A. Gordon ↑
Substitution 2
59'
⇄
J. Murphy ↓ · A. Elanga ↑
Substitution 3
59'
⇄
J. Willock ↓ · S. Tonali ↑
Substitution 4
T. Hume ↓ · B. Traore ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
70'
W. Isidor ↓ · B. Brobbey ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
70'
75'
⇄
Y. Wissa ↓ · N. Woltemade ↑
Substitution 5
R. Mundle ↓ · C. Talbi ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
83'
Enzo Le Fée
Yellow Card
▮
86'
Wilson Isidor
Yellow Card
▮
90+4'
90+4'
▮
Joe Willock
Yellow Card
90+4'
▮
Bruno Guimarães
Yellow Card
90+5'
▮
Malick Thiaw
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.94 — 58% Cashed +0.94 Cashed
Away Win 2.30 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.14 — 53% Cashed +1.14 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.63 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.00 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.75 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.70 — 48% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.40 — 22% Cashed +1.40 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.75 — 33% Cashed +2.75 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.36 — 78% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.35 — 78% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Under 0.5 11.00 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.07 — 89% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Draw 3.44 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.33 — 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.45 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.46 — 22% Cashed +2.46 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +0.81u +5% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
SUN – NEW @ 1.94
+13.3%
Edge
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