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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Poland Ekstraklasa Legia Warszawa — Pogon Szczecin

Match Legia Warszawa vs Pogon Szczecin September 28, 2025

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa
Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa
Home · last 5 L W W W W
Kick-off
Sun 28 Sep · 15:30
1:0
Full-time
Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin
D W L W D Away · last 5
Stadion Wojska Polskiego · Warsaw Referee Wojciech Myc, Poland
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 64% · book 1.58
Miss
Draw
Draw
AI 20% · book 4.55
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 17% · book 5.25
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
1.73 – 0.38
Δ +1.35
Possession
55% – 45%
AI accuracy
5 / 10
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Legia Warszawa arrives with a solid home record and a notably strong defensive shape, conceding fewer goals at home. Pogon Szczecin, while showing a decent attacking profile, has struggled defensively on the road, which could be a key factor in this matchup. Recent form trends suggest both teams have had mixed results, but Legia’s home advantage and overall steadier performance tilt the balance in their favor. The model anticipates a controlled game with a moderate number of goals, favoring a home win but keeping the draw in play. Totals markets around 2.5 goals look promising, with a slight lean towards over given the attacking capabilities on both sides. BTTS is also likely given both teams’ tendencies to score and concede.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

LEG 4-3-3 · POG 4-1-4-1
Subs used · LEG
51' Pankov ↑ · Piątkowski
64' Urbański ↑ · Krasniqi
64' Chodyna ↑ · Weißhaupt
88' Augustyniak ↑ · Elitim
Subs used · POG
65' Ulvestad ↑ · Przyborek
65' Koutris ↑ · Ali
74' Lončar ↑ · Keramitsis
87' Mukairu ↑ · Ndiaye
87' Wojciechowski ↑ · Juwara

📊 Statistics

LEG 10 POG
55%
Possession (%)
45%
1.73
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.38
14
Total Shots
6
6
Shots on Target
1
6
Shots off Target
5
11
Shots Inside Box
3
6
Corner Kicks
1
3
Offsides
2
17
Fouls
15
76%
Pass Accuracy (%)
73%
2
Yellow Cards
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

15 · 1 – 0
Mileta Rajović (P)
Penalty · 1–0
4'
Kamil Piątkowski
Yellow Card
12'
23'
Mor Ndiaye
Yellow Card
35'
Marian Huja
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
Radovan Pankov ↓ · Kamil Piątkowski ↑
Substitution 1
51'
Kacper Urbański ↓ · Ermal Krasniqi ↑
Substitution 2
64'
Kacper Chodyna ↓ · Noah Weißhaupt ↑
Substitution 3
64'
65'
Fredrik Ulvestad ↓ · Adrian Przyborek ↑
Substitution 1
65'
Leonardo Koutris ↓ · Hussein Ali ↑
Substitution 2
68'
Sam Greenwood
Yellow Card
74'
Danijel Lončar ↓ · Dimitrios Keramitsis ↑
Substitution 3
87'
Paul Mukairu ↓ · Mor Ndiaye ↑
Substitution 4
87'
Maciej Wojciechowski ↓ · Musa Juwara ↑
Substitution 5
Rafał Augustyniak ↓ · Juergen Elitim ↑
Substitution 4
88'
Arkadiusz Reca
Yellow Card
90+3'
Full-time · 1 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

10 · 5 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.58 64% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
Draw 4.55 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.25 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.57 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.47 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.18 80% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.18 64% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
AH Home -0.5 1.55 55% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
Home Team Total Over 0.5 1.09 75% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Away Team Total Over 0.5 1.48 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 10 markets @ 1u each 5 W · 5 L −3.42u −34% ROI