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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Poland Ekstraklasa Piast Gliwice — Nieciecza

Match Piast Gliwice vs Nieciecza September 27, 2025

Poland   /   Ekstraklasa
Piast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice
Home · last 5 W D D L L
Kick-off
Sat 27 Sep · 15:30
4:2
Full-time
Nieciecza
Nieciecza
W L L W W Away · last 5
Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach · Gliwice Referee Pawel Malec, Poland
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 60% · book 1.95
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 65% · book 1.88
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 80% · book 1.24
Total goals
6
4 · 2
xG (open play)
2.20 – 3.17
Δ −0.97
Possession
48% – 52%
AI accuracy
4 / 9
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

This encounter features Piast Gliwice hosting Nieciecza in a clash where the visitors show a stronger overall profile despite recent struggles. Piast's home form is subdued with multiple draws and a loss, while Nieciecza's away form is weaker but they have a better recent points rate overall. The home side's defense is more solid, but their attack is limited, suggesting a cautious game with few clear chances. The model leans slightly towards a home win given the venue edge and defensive solidity, but the draw remains a realistic outcome. Goals are expected to be scarce, favoring under 2.5 goals and a no BTTS scenario. Asian Handicap on the home side and double chance 1X offer reasonable value angles.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

PIA 4-4-1-1 · TER 3-4-3
Subs used · PIA
46' Jirka ↑ · Boisgard
75' Barkovskiy ↑ · Lokilo
75' Pitan ↑ · Sanca
81' Lesniak ↑ · Tomasiewicz
85' Chrapek ↑ · Félix
Subs used · TER
46' Jiménez ↑ · Zapolnik
60' Kurzawa ↑ · Fassbender
60' Guerrero ↑ · Trubeha
83' Jakubik ↑ · Boboc
83' Strzałek ↑ · Hilbrycht

📊 Statistics

PIA 42 TER
48%
Possession (%)
52%
2.20
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
3.17
20
Total Shots
22
7
Shots on Target
7
6
Shots off Target
8
13
Shots Inside Box
16
2
Corner Kicks
7
1
Offsides
2
7
Fouls
15
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
1
Yellow Cards
3
5
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

21 · 4 – 2
9'
Damian Hilbrycht
Assist · Morgan Fassbender · 0–1
20'
Andrzej Trubeha
Assist · Krzysztof Kubica · 0–2
Igor Drapiński
Yellow Card
29'
32'
Andrzej Trubeha
Yellow Card
Adrian Dalmau
1–2
40'
Half-time · 1 – 2
Erik Jirka ↓ · Quentin Boisgard ↑
Substitution 1
46'
46'
Jesús Jiménez ↓ · Kamil Zapolnik ↑
Substitution 1
50'
Maciej Ambrosiewicz
Yellow Card
Leandro Sanca
Assist · Jorge Félix · 2–2
51'
Juande Rivas
Assist · Leandro Sanca · 3–2
60'
60'
Rafał Kurzawa ↓ · Morgan Fassbender ↑
Substitution 2
60'
Sergio Guerrero ↓ · Andrzej Trubeha ↑
Substitution 3
Adrian Dalmau
Red Card
70'
German Barkovskiy ↓ · Jason Lokilo ↑
Substitution 2
75'
Levis Pitan ↓ · Leandro Sanca ↑
Substitution 3
75'
Oskar Lesniak ↓ · Grzegorz Tomasiewicz ↑
Substitution 4
81'
83'
Wojciech Jakubik ↓ · Radu Boboc ↑
Substitution 4
83'
Igor Strzałek ↓ · Damian Hilbrycht ↑
Substitution 5
Michał Chrapek ↓ · Jorge Félix ↑
Substitution 5
85'
88'
Jesús Jiménez
Yellow Card
Erik Jirka
Assist · Patryk Dziczek · 4–2
90+6'
Full-time · 4 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

9 · 4 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.95 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.88 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.24 80% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.34 70% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Home Team Total Under 0.5 4.40 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Team Total Over 0.5 1.55 65% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
Home Win 1.91 54% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Draw 3.62 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.45 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 9 markets @ 1u each 4 W · 5 L −2.96u −33% ROI