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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Mallorca — Oviedo

Match Mallorca vs Oviedo May 23, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Mallorca
Mallorca
Home · last 5 W D L L W
Kick-off
Sat 23 May · 19:00
3:0
Full-time
Oviedo
Oviedo
L D L L L Away · last 5
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix · Palma de Mallorca Referee J. Sanchez
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 56% · book 2.00
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 55% · book 1.80
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 45% · book 2.05
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
2.65 – 0.29
Δ +2.36
Possession
58% – 42%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.00 — +12.3% better than the market.

Mallorca holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, backed by a solid defensive setup that could stifle Oviedo’s modest attack. Oviedo’s recent form and away struggles suggest they may find it tough to break down Mallorca’s compact block. The match hints at a cautious tempo, with under 2.5 goals favored given both sides’ defensive discipline and limited goal threat.

  • Mallorca’s home defensive solidity vs Oviedo’s lower offensive output
  • Recent form favors Mallorca’s slightly better consistency
  • Likely controlled pace with few clear-cut chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.00 ✗ Lost
AI 56% Implied 50% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

MAL 4-3-3 · OVI 4-2-3-1
Subs used · MAL
54' Raillo ↑ · Mascarell
61' Virgili ↑ · Asano
61' Sanchez ↑ · Costa
85' Prats ↑ · Torre
85' Olaizola ↑ · Lato
Subs used · OVI
46' Hassan ↑ · Fores
63' Borbas ↑ · Cazorla
63' Ilic ↑ · Colombatto
77' Lopez ↑ · Alhassane
77' Ahijado ↑ · Vidal

📊 Statistics

MAL 30 OVI
58%
Possession (%)
42%
2.65
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.29
23
Total Shots
7
7
Shots on Target
0
7
Shots off Target
6
18
Shots Inside Box
3
5
Corner Kicks
5
0
Offsides
2
10
Fouls
8
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

16 · 3 – 0
38'
S. Cazorla
Yellow Card
P. Torre
Assist · P. Maffeo · 1–0
42'
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
H. Hassan ↓ · A. Fores ↑
Substitution 1
M. Morlanes
Yellow Card
48'
A. Raillo ↓ · O. Mascarell ↑
Substitution 1
54'
Samu Costa
Yellow Card
58'
J. Virgili ↓ · T. Asano ↑
Substitution 2
61'
A. Sanchez ↓ · Samu Costa ↑
Substitution 3
61'
63'
T. Borbas ↓ · S. Cazorla ↑
Substitution 2
63'
L. Ilic ↓ · S. Colombatto ↑
Substitution 3
77'
J. Lopez ↓ · R. Alhassane ↑
Substitution 4
77'
L. Ahijado ↓ · N. Vidal ↑
Substitution 5
M. Morlanes
2–0
83'
A. Prats ↓ · P. Torre ↑
Substitution 4
85'
J. Olaizola ↓ · T. Lato ↑
Substitution 5
85'
V. Muriqi
3–0
88'
Full-time · 3 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.00 1.91 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.80 1.75 55% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.05 2.00 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.94 1.91 44% Cashed +0.94 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.64 2.62 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.54 1.46 68% Cashed +0.54 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.80 3.75 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.14 1.10 89% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.17 1.14 68% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.20 3.25 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 12.00 10.99 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.36 1.33 76% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Draw 4.57 4.44 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 1.04 90% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.28 1.25 70% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Away Win 7.00 6.85 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 5.00 5.26 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.72u −34% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
MAL – OVI @ 2.00
+12.3%
Edge
Forecast →