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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Celta Vigo — Sevilla

Match Celta Vigo vs Sevilla May 23, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
Home · last 5 W W L D W
Kick-off
Sat 23 May · 19:00
1:0
Full-time
Sevilla
Sevilla
W W W L L Away · last 5
Estadio Abanca-Balaídos · Vigo Referee F. Maeso
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 60% · book 1.91
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 54% · book 1.94
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 1.95
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
1.57 – 0.80
Δ +0.77
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Celta Vigo vs Sevilla Preview

Celta Vigo holds a clear quality edge and a notable home momentum, supported by a solid defensive setup that challenges Sevilla’s attack. Sevilla’s recent form shows resilience, but their defensive frailties may be exposed against Celta’s sharper offensive play. The match hints at a moderate tempo with a balanced goal environment, favoring a tight contest where Celta’s home advantage and pressing edge could be decisive.

  • Celta’s defensive compactness vs Sevilla’s attack
  • Home momentum and tactical discipline
  • Moderate pace suggesting controlled, strategic play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

CEL 3-4-3 · SEV 4-3-3
Subs used · CEL
65' Alvarez ↑ · Swedberg
66' Jutgla ↑ · Aspas
74' Vecino ↑ · Lopez
74' Duran ↑ · Iglesias
90+3' Mingueza ↑ · Rueda
Subs used · SEV
64' Vargas ↑ · Peque
64' Maupay ↑ · Sanchez
64' Adams ↑ · Romero
77' Ejuke ↑ · Oso
86' Gudelj ↑ · Agoume

📊 Statistics

CEL 10 SEV
54%
Possession (%)
46%
1.57
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.80
12
Total Shots
9
3
Shots on Target
2
8
Shots off Target
5
8
Shots Inside Box
4
4
Corner Kicks
3
0
Offsides
2
11
Fouls
20
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
1
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

12 · 1 – 0
I. Moriba
Yellow Card
38'
Half-time · 0 – 0
I. Moriba
Assist · F. Lopez · 1–0
51'
64'
R. Vargas ↓ · Peque ↑
Substitution 1
64'
N. Maupay ↓ · A. Sanchez ↑
Substitution 2
64'
A. Adams ↓ · I. Romero ↑
Substitution 3
H. Alvarez ↓ · W. Swedberg ↑
Substitution 1
65'
F. Jutgla ↓ · I. Aspas ↑
Substitution 2
66'
M. Vecino ↓ · F. Lopez ↑
Substitution 3
74'
P. Duran ↓ · B. Iglesias ↑
Substitution 4
74'
77'
C. Ejuke ↓ · Oso ↑
Substitution 4
86'
N. Gudelj ↓ · L. Agoume ↑
Substitution 5
O. Mingueza ↓ · J. Rueda ↑
Substitution 5
90+3'
Full-time · 1 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.91 1.95 60% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.94 1.80 54% Cashed +0.94 Cashed
BTTS No 1.95 1.93 52% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.00 2.00 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.83 1.83 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.05 1.87 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.43 1.42 60% Cashed +0.43 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.75 3.40 29% Cashed +2.75 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.26 1.22 84% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Under 0.5 11.50 10.00 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.33 1.31 75% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.05 1.05 91% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Draw 3.84 3.45 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.29 1.30 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.40 3.40 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.60 4.00 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.45 2.99 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.38u −14% ROI