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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Villarreal — Atletico Madrid

Match Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid May 24, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Villarreal
Villarreal
Home · last 5 W D L L W
Kick-off
Sun 24 May · 19:00
5:1
Full-time
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
W L W W L Away · last 5
Estadio de la Ceramica · Villarreal Referee Miguel Sesma Espinosa, Spain
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 47% · book 2.60
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 61% · book 1.73
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 38% · book 2.80
Total goals
6
5 · 1
xG (open play)
2.45 – 1.16
Δ +1.29
Possession
48% – 52%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Villarreal hold a clear quality edge at home, supported by a solid recent run and a pressing advantage in attack versus Atletico's defense. Their home momentum and ability to control the game tempo suggest a compact block with effective set-piece threats. Atletico, despite recent wins, face challenges breaking down Villarreal's disciplined defense, hinting at a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances.

  • Home side's offensive edge against away defense
  • Villarreal's recent form and home confidence
  • Likely cautious pace with defensive solidity

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

VIL 4-4-2 · ATM 4-4-2
Subs used · VIL
66' Diatta ↑ · Parejo
67' Cardona ↑ · Pedraza
75' Costa ↑ · Gueye
75' Cabanes ↑ · Perez
89' Macia ↑ · Mikautadze
Subs used · ATM
46' Sorloth ↑ · Simeone
46' Puric ↑ · Hancko
46' Ruggeri ↑ · Pubill
61' Bonar ↑ · Lookman
61' Morcillo ↑ · Baena

📊 Statistics

VIL 51 ATM
48%
Possession (%)
52%
2.45
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.16
14
Total Shots
9
8
Shots on Target
4
1
Shots off Target
5
10
Shots Inside Box
7
5
Corner Kicks
9
0
Offsides
1
3
Fouls
12
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
0
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

17 · 5 – 1
27'
G. Simeone
Yellow Card
D. Parejo (P)
Penalty · 1–0
30'
A. Perez
2–0
34'
G. Mikautadze
Assist · A. Perez · 3–0
40'
43'
M. Pubill
Assist · A. Griezmann · 3–1
P. Gueye
Assist · N. Pepe · 4–1
45'
Half-time · 4 – 1
46'
A. Sorloth ↓ · G. Simeone ↑
Substitution 1
46'
A. Puric ↓ · D. Hancko ↑
Substitution 2
46'
M. Ruggeri ↓ · M. Pubill ↑
Substitution 3
A. Perez
Assist · N. Pepe · 5–1
54'
61'
J. Bonar ↓ · A. Lookman ↑
Substitution 4
61'
J. Morcillo ↓ · A. Baena ↑
Substitution 5
A. Diatta ↓ · D. Parejo ↑
Substitution 1
66'
S. Cardona ↓ · A. Pedraza ↑
Substitution 2
67'
L. Costa ↓ · P. Gueye ↑
Substitution 3
75'
P. Cabanes ↓ · A. Perez ↑
Substitution 4
75'
C. Macia ↓ · G. Mikautadze ↑
Substitution 5
89'
Full-time · 5 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.60 2.53 47% Cashed +1.60 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.73 1.80 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.80 3.05 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.70 2.88 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.95 1.93 47% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.28 2.00 39% Cashed +1.28 Cashed
Away Win 2.80 2.55 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.05 1.96 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.53 1.50 71% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.50 1.36 61% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.41 1.35 62% Cashed +0.41 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.56 1.50 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 6.00 6.37 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.00 3.73 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 1.01 95% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Under 0.5 19.00 20.83 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.14 1.08 82% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.57u −21% ROI