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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Sevilla — Real Sociedad

Match Sevilla vs Real Sociedad May 4, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Sevilla
Sevilla
Home · last 5 W W W L L
Kick-off
Mon 04 May · 19:00
1:0
Full-time
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
L D D L D Away · last 5
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán · Sevilla Referee J. Martinez
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 68% · book 1.60
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 53% · book 1.94
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 49% · book 2.05
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
1.39 – 0.16
Δ +1.23
Possession
42% – 58%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Sevilla hosts Real Sociedad in a clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge, boasting stronger offensive and defensive metrics. Sevilla’s recent home form shows some struggles, while Sociedad’s away resilience and slightly better recent points per game suggest they can challenge effectively. Expect a tactical battle with Sociedad’s sharper attack testing Sevilla’s compact defense.

  • Real Sociedad’s offensive edge against Sevilla’s defense could unlock chances.
  • Sevilla’s home momentum is limited but their defensive solidity may keep it tight.
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring a balanced contest with goal opportunities on both sides.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

SEV 4-4-2 · RSO 4-4-2
Subs used · SEV
46' Sanchez ↑ · Romero
75' Sanchez ↑ · Vargas
82' Mendy ↑ · Gudelj
90+1' Peque ↑ · Maupay
90+1' Oso ↑ · Ejuke
Subs used · RSO
46' Oskarsson ↑ · Gorrotxategi
58' Kubo ↑ · Marin
69' Herrera ↑ · Turrientes
82' Wesley ↑ · Aramburu
82' Sucic ↑ · Barrenetxea

📊 Statistics

SEV 10 RSO
42%
Possession (%)
58%
1.39
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.16
19
Total Shots
6
5
Shots on Target
0
8
Shots off Target
1
10
Shots Inside Box
2
3
Corner Kicks
3
3
Offsides
0
19
Fouls
11
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

15 · 1 – 0
28'
J. Aramburu
Yellow Card
L. Garcia
Yellow Card
28'
Half-time · 0 – 0
A. Sanchez ↓ · I. Romero ↑
Substitution 1
46'
46'
O. Oskarsson ↓ · J. Gorrotxategi ↑
Substitution 1
A. Sanchez
Assist · N. Maupay · 1–0
50'
58'
T. Kubo ↓ · P. Marin ↑
Substitution 2
69'
Y. Herrera ↓ · B. Turrientes ↑
Substitution 3
J. Sanchez ↓ · R. Vargas ↑
Substitution 2
75'
A. Sanchez
Yellow Card
75'
B. Mendy ↓ · N. Gudelj ↑
Substitution 3
82'
82'
Wesley ↓ · J. Aramburu ↑
Substitution 4
82'
L. Sucic ↓ · A. Barrenetxea ↑
Substitution 5
J. A. Carmona
Yellow Card
88'
Peque ↓ · N. Maupay ↑
Substitution 4
90+1'
Oso ↓ · C. Ejuke ↑
Substitution 5
90+1'
Full-time · 1 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.60 1.53 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.94 1.84 53% Cashed +0.94 Cashed
BTTS No 2.05 2.00 49% Cashed +1.05 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.00 1.95 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.16 2.14 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.75 1.75 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.49 2.40 32% Cashed +1.49 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.81 1.75 32% Cashed +0.81 Cashed
Away Win 2.99 2.95 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.45 1.40 58% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
Under 0.5 11.50 9.01 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.50 3.30 29% Cashed +2.50 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.33 1.27 74% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.06 1.03 91% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Draw 3.58 3.30 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.30 1.29 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.40 3.40 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −1.37u −8% ROI