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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Rayo Vallecano — Real Sociedad

Match Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad April 26, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Home · last 5 W D D W W
Kick-off
Sun 26 Apr · 12:00
3:3
Full-time
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
L D D L D Away · last 5
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas · Madrid Referee J. Guzman
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 68% · book 1.60
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 52% · book 1.97
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 48% · book 2.12
Total goals
6
3 · 3
xG (open play)
2.22 – 1.79
Δ +0.43
Possession
58% – 42%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Real Sociedad arrives with a clear quality edge and a pressing advantage, despite Rayo Vallecano's slightly better recent form and home momentum. The visitors' stronger attack against Vallecano's leaky defense suggests they can break through, while Rayo's compact block and set-piece threat may keep the game tight. Expect a balanced tempo with moderate goal potential, as both sides show resilience but contrasting tactical strengths.

  • Real Sociedad's offensive edge vs Vallecano's defense
  • Home side's recent form and set-piece threat
  • Moderate pace hinted by balanced over/under odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

RAY 4-2-3-1 · RSO 4-4-2
Subs used · RAY
64' Diaz ↑ · Martin
64' Alemao ↑ · Mendy
64' de Frutos ↑ · Camello
68' Gumbau ↑ · Palazon
81' Perez ↑ · Lopez
Subs used · RSO
56' Sucic ↑ · Kubo
56' Marin ↑ · Barrenetxea
67' Gorrotxategi ↑ · Oskarsson
67' Herrera ↑ · Turrientes
90+1' Munoz ↑ · Gomez

📊 Statistics

RAY 33 RSO
58%
Possession (%)
42%
2.22
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.79
24
Total Shots
13
9
Shots on Target
8
8
Shots off Target
3
14
Shots Inside Box
10
6
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
2
14
Fouls
12
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
76%
6
Yellow Cards
4
5
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

27 · 3 – 3
Nobel Mendy
Yellow Card
-5'
Isi Palazón
Red Card
-5'
-5'
Takefusa Kubo
Yellow Card
22'
M. Oyarzabal
Assist · A. Barrenetxea · 0–1
Isi Palazón
Yellow Card
29'
S. Camello
1–1
30'
45+1'
Sergio Gómez
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 1
Pathé Ismaël Ciss
Yellow Card
49'
56'
Orri Steinn Óskarsson
Yellow Card
56'
L. Sucic ↓ · T. Kubo ↑
Substitution 1
56'
P. Marin ↓ · A. Barrenetxea ↑
Substitution 2
63'
O. Oskarsson
Assist · S. Gomez · 1–2
P. Diaz ↓ · C. Martin ↑
Substitution 1
64'
Alemao ↓ · N. Mendy ↑
Substitution 2
64'
J. de Frutos ↓ · S. Camello ↑
Substitution 3
64'
67'
J. Gorrotxategi ↓ · O. Oskarsson ↑
Substitution 3
67'
Y. Herrera ↓ · B. Turrientes ↑
Substitution 4
G. Gumbau ↓ · I. Palazon ↑
Substitution 4
68'
Andrei Rațiu
Yellow Card
75'
76'
M. Oyarzabal (P)
Penalty · 1–3
F. Perez ↓ · U. Lopez ↑
Substitution 5
81'
F. Lejeune
2–3
84'
Alemao
Assist · P. Diaz · 3–3
90'
90+1'
A. Munoz ↓ · S. Gomez ↑
Substitution 5
Florian Lejeune
Yellow Card
90+7'
90+7'
Carlos Soler
Yellow Card
Alemão
Yellow Card
90+10'
Full-time · 3 – 3

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.60 68% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.97 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.12 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.01 48% Cashed +1.01 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.80 52% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.13 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.50 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.84 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.92 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.46 57% Cashed +0.46 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.75 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.35 73% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 92% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.31 73% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
Draw 3.66 25% Cashed +2.66 Cashed
Under 0.5 11.00 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.40 27% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −0.70u −4% ROI