Match Crystal Palace vs Brentford November 1, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.86 — +11.9% better than the market.

Crystal Palace hold a slight quality edge and home momentum, showing resilience with recent wins. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Brentford's less effective defense, suggesting Palace can control the pace at Selhurst Park. Brentford's attack faces a tough test against a compact Palace backline, but their ability to score on the break keeps the contest open.

Home side's defensive discipline vs Brentford's moderate attack
Recent form favors Palace's consistency
Moderate tempo expected with chances for both

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 1.86 ✗ Lost

AI 60% Implied 54% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

CRY 3-4-2-1 · BRE 4-2-3-1

CRY · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · BRE

14 Mateta ⚽

Subs used · CRY

78'

Hughes ↑ ·

Pino ↓

78'

Devenny ↑ ·

Kamada ↓

90'

Canvot ↑ ·

Mateta ↓

Subs used · BRE

67'

Lewis-Potter ↑ ·

Kayode ↓

68'

Jensen ↑ ·

Damsgaard ↓

68'

Janelt ↑ ·

Yarmolyuk ↓

75'

Nelson ↑ ·

Ouattara ↓

86'

Carvalho ↑ ·

Henderson ↓

📊 Statistics

CRY 2 – 0 BRE

36%

Possession (%)

64%

0.72

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.54

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

66%

Pass Accuracy (%)

79%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

13 · 2 – 0

J. Mateta

Assist · J. Lerma · 1–0

⚽

30'

34'

▮

Kevin Schade

Yellow Card

Half-time · 1 – 0

N. Collins

Own goal · Assist · J. Lerma · 2–0

⚽

51'

67'

⇄

K. Lewis-Potter ↓ · M. Kayode ↑

Substitution 1

68'

⇄

M. Jensen ↓ · M. Damsgaard ↑

Substitution 2

68'

⇄

V. Janelt ↓ · Y. Yarmolyuk ↑

Substitution 3

75'

⇄

R. Nelson ↓ · D. Ouattara ↑

Substitution 4

78'

▮

Jordan Henderson

Yellow Card

W. Hughes ↓ · Y. Pino ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

78'

J. Devenny ↓ · D. Kamada ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

78'

84'

▮

Nathan Collins

Yellow Card

86'

⇄

F. Carvalho ↓ · J. Henderson ↑

Substitution 5

J. Canvot ↓ · J. Mateta ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

90'

Full-time · 2 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.86	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.97	—	57%	Cashed	+0.97	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.68	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.24	—	40%	Cashed	+1.24	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.14	—	40%	Cashed	+1.14	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.94	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.00	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.28	—	82%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.44	—	61%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.44	—	57%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.26	—	81%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	95%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	3.75	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.97	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.33	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.18	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.90	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.17u	−25% ROI