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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Brighton — Leeds

Match Brighton vs Leeds November 1, 2025

Brighton
Brighton
Home · last 5 W L W L L
Kick-off
Sat 01 Nov · 15:00
3:0
Full-time
Leeds
Leeds
D W D W L Away · last 5
Amex Stadium · Brighton Referee Michael Oliver, England
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 60% · book 1.89
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 50% · book 2.10
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 49% · book 2.15
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
2.99 – 0.46
Δ +2.53
Possession
50% – 50%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Brighton arrives with clear home momentum, boasting a stronger overall squad and a pressing edge that challenges Leeds' defense. Their recent form shows resilience, while Leeds struggles to find consistency away. Brighton's offensive threat matches well against Leeds' leaky backline, suggesting a tactical upper hand. Expect a controlled tempo with chances created from set-pieces and quick transitions.

  • Brighton's home compact block limits Leeds' attacking options.
  • Leeds' defensive vulnerabilities exploited by Brighton's sharp offense.
  • Moderate pace likely, favoring structured build-up over frantic pressing.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

BRI 4-2-3-1 · LEE 4-1-4-1
Subs used · BRI
81' Watson ↑ · Gomez
82' Tzimas ↑ · Welbeck
88' Kostoulas ↑ · Minteh
90+4' Knight ↑ · Ayari
90+4' Oriola ↑ · Rutter
Subs used · LEE
60' Stach ↑ · Longstaff
61' James ↑ · Tanaka
65' Nmecha ↑ · Calvert-Lewin
77' Justin ↑ · Bogle
77' Harrison ↑ · Okafor

📊 Statistics

BRI 30 LEE
50%
Possession (%)
50%
2.99
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.46
14
Total Shots
6
7
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
3
8
Shots Inside Box
4
4
Corner Kicks
7
3
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
7
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
0
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

14 · 3 – 0
D. Welbeck
Assist · M. Wieffer · 1–0
11'
Half-time · 1 – 0
60'
A. Stach ↓ · S. Longstaff ↑
Substitution 1
61'
D. James ↓ · A. Tanaka ↑
Substitution 2
D. Gomez
2–0
64'
65'
L. Nmecha ↓ · D. Calvert-Lewin ↑
Substitution 3
D. Gomez
Assist · Y. Minteh · 3–0
70'
73'
Ethan Ampadu
Yellow Card
77'
J. Justin ↓ · J. Bogle ↑
Substitution 4
77'
J. Harrison ↓ · N. Okafor ↑
Substitution 5
T. Watson ↓ · D. Gomez ↑
Substitution 1
81'
S. Tzimas ↓ · D. Welbeck ↑
Substitution 2
82'
C. Kostoulas ↓ · Y. Minteh ↑
Substitution 3
88'
J. Knight ↓ · Y. Ayari ↑
Substitution 4
90+4'
N. Oriola ↓ · G. Rutter ↑
Substitution 5
90+4'
Full-time · 3 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.89 60% Cashed +0.89 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.10 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.15 49% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.86 50% Cashed +0.86 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.76 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.02 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.42 60% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.20 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.26 83% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.40 72% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.11 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.20 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 92% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.28 74% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Draw 3.95 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.11 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.34 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.68u −28% ROI