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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › FC St. Pauli — VfL Wolfsburg

Match FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg May 16, 2026

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Home · last 5 D L L L L
Kick-off
Sat 16 May · 13:30
1:3
Full-time
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
D L W D L Away · last 5
Millerntor-Stadion · Hamburg Referee Daniel Siebert, Germany
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 53% · book 2.31 ✗
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 50% · book 2.41 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 49% · book 2.40 ✗
Total goals
4
1 · 3
xG (open play)
1.47 – 3.42
Δ −1.95
Possession
44% – 56%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

FC St. Pauli faces a tough challenge against VfL Wolfsburg at Millerntor-Stadion. Wolfsburg's stronger overall quality and attacking edge suggest they can break down St. Pauli's compact defense. However, St. Pauli's home momentum and defensive resilience could keep the match tight. Recent form favors Wolfsburg slightly, but both sides have struggled for consistent wins.

  • Wolfsburg's offensive pressure vs St. Pauli's solid backline
  • Home side's defensive discipline may limit goals
  • Moderate pace expected, leaning towards a cautious game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

PAU 3-4-1-2 · WOL 3-1-4-2
PAU · 3-4-1-2 3-1-4-2 · WOL 22 Vasilj 15 Ando 5 Wahl 25 Dźwigała 11 Pyrka 7 Irvine 16 Fujita 23 Oppie 24 Metcalfe 19 Kaars 27 Hountondji 1 Grabara 6 Belocian 3 Vavro 4 Koulierakis ⚽ 5 Souza 26 Kumbedi 32 Svanberg 24 Eriksen ⚽ 21 Mæhle 11 Daghim 17 Pejčinović ⚽
Subs used · PAU
46' Ceesay ↑ · Hountondji ↓
77' Jones ↑ · Dzwigala ↓
90+2' Hara ↑ · Irvine ↓
90+2' Rasmussen ↑ · Metcalfe ↓
Subs used · WOL
67' Gerhardt ↑ · Svanberg ↓
88' Shiogai ↑ · Daghim ↓
90+4' Amoura ↑ · Pejcinovic ↓
90+4' Majer ↑ · Eriksen ↓

📊 Statistics

PAU 1 – 3 WOL
44%
Possession (%)
56%
1.47
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
3.42
11
Total Shots
19
2
Shots on Target
10
5
Shots off Target
5
7
Shots Inside Box
17
8
Corner Kicks
9
2
Offsides
1
6
Fouls
9
72%
Pass Accuracy (%)
78%
2
Yellow Cards
3
8
Goalkeeper Saves
1

⏱ Match events

18 · 1 – 3
18'
▮
Vini Souza
Yellow Card
33'
▮
A. Daghim
Yellow Card
37'
⚽
K. Koulierakis
Assist · C. Eriksen · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
A. Ceesay ↓ · A. Hountondji ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
A. Ceesay
Assist · C. Metcalfe · 1–1
⚽
57'
64'
⚽
N. Vasilj
Own goal · 1–2
67'
⇄
Y. Gerhardt ↓ · M. Svanberg ↑
Substitution 1
77'
⚽
C. Eriksen (P)
Penalty · Assist · C. Eriksen · 1–3
R. Jones ↓ · A. Dzwigala ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
77'
80'
⚽
D. Pejcinovic
1–4
88'
⇄
K. Shiogai ↓ · A. Daghim ↑
Substitution 2
A. Ceesay
Yellow Card
▮
88'
T. Hara ↓ · J. Irvine ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
90+2'
M. Rasmussen ↓ · C. Metcalfe ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
90+2'
90+4'
▮
K. Shiogai
Yellow Card
90+4'
⇄
M. Amoura ↓ · D. Pejcinovic ↑
Substitution 3
90+4'
⇄
L. Majer ↓ · C. Eriksen ↑
Substitution 4
J. Fujita
Yellow Card
▮
90+5'
Full-time · 1 – 3

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.31 2.10 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.41 2.48 50% Cashed +1.41 Cashed
BTTS No 2.40 2.34 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.79 1.90 50% Cashed +0.79 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.64 1.55 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.72 1.73 47% Cashed +0.72 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.63 2.75 26% Cashed +1.63 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.19 2.00 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.50 1.40 74% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.45 1.42 74% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
Under 0.5 15.50 12.99 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.50 4.33 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.57 1.55 51% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Home Win 2.96 2.66 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 1.02 91% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Draw 3.80 3.45 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.20 1.19 70% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.20u −19% ROI