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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Germany Germany Bundesliga 1. FC Heidenheim — FSV Mainz 05

Match 1. FC Heidenheim vs FSV Mainz 05 May 16, 2026

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
Home · last 5 L W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 16 May · 13:30
0:2
Full-time
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
D L W L W Away · last 5
Voith-Arena · Heidenheim an der Brenz Referee Robert Hartmann, Germany
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 63% · book 1.81
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 58% · book 1.92
Hit
AH Away 0
AH Away 0
AI 36% · book 2.66
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
2.63 – 3.46
Δ −0.83
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.81 — +13.5% better than the market.

1. FC Heidenheim hosts FSV Mainz 05 in a Bundesliga clash where Mainz holds a clear quality edge, reflected in their stronger overall rating and defensive solidity. Heidenheim’s home momentum and recent form suggest resilience, but Mainz’s sharper attack against a less robust defense could tilt the balance. Expect a tactical battle with a moderate pace, likely producing fewer goals given both sides’ defensive focus and recent low-scoring encounters.

  • Home side’s compact block and set-piece threat
  • Mainz’s pressing edge and counter opportunities
  • Balanced recent form with slight away advantage

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.81 ✓ Cashed
AI 63% Implied 55% +0.81u
+81%
ROI on stake

Lineups

HEI 4-4-1-1 · MAI 3-5-2
Subs used · HEI
46' H. Traore ↑ · Busch
46' Conteh ↑ · Pieringer
65' Schimmer ↑ · Ibrahimovic
73' Honsak ↑ · Dinkci
73' Beck ↑ · Dorsch
Subs used · MAI
46' da Costa ↑ · Posch
68' Jae-Sung ↑ · Amiri
68' Caci ↑ · Widmer
77' Maloney ↑ · Becker
84' Weiper ↑ · Tietz

📊 Statistics

HEI 02 MAI
54%
Possession (%)
46%
2.63
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
3.46
15
Total Shots
15
5
Shots on Target
9
6
Shots off Target
4
13
Shots Inside Box
10
6
Corner Kicks
3
3
Offsides
1
8
Fouls
12
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
77%
1
Yellow Cards
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

14 · 0 – 2
7'
P. Tietz
0–1
43'
N. Amiri
Assist · P. Tietz · 0–2
Half-time · 0 – 2
O. H. Traore ↓ · M. Busch ↑
Substitution 1
46'
C. Conteh ↓ · M. Pieringer ↑
Substitution 2
46'
46'
D. da Costa ↓ · S. Posch ↑
Substitution 1
S. Schimmer ↓ · A. Ibrahimovic ↑
Substitution 3
65'
68'
Lee Jae-Sung ↓ · N. Amiri ↑
Substitution 2
68'
A. Caci ↓ · S. Widmer ↑
Substitution 3
E. Dinkci
Yellow Card
70'
70'
S. Becker
Yellow Card
M. Honsak ↓ · E. Dinkci ↑
Substitution 4
73'
A. Beck ↓ · N. Dorsch ↑
Substitution 5
73'
77'
L. Maloney ↓ · S. Becker ↑
Substitution 4
84'
N. Weiper ↓ · P. Tietz ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 0 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.81 1.80 63% Cashed +0.81 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.92 1.91 58% Cashed +0.92 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.66 2.89 36% Cashed +1.66 Cashed
Home Win 1.98 1.81 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.17 2.00 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.88 2.96 41% Cashed +1.88 Cashed
BTTS No 2.81 2.82 40% Cashed +1.81 Cashed
Away Win 3.50 3.65 36% Cashed +2.50 Cashed
Under 1.5 6.50 6.45 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.36 1.31 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.44 1.38 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.44 1.36 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.57 1.49 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.52 4.27 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.14 1.08 80% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each 7 W · 8 L +1.72u +11% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 3.5
HEI – MAI @ 1.81
+13.5%
Edge
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