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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Germany Germany Bundesliga Werder Bremen — Borussia Dortmund

Match Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund May 16, 2026

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
Home · last 5 W D L L L
Kick-off
Sat 16 May · 13:30
0:2
Full-time
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
L W L W W Away · last 5
Referee Bastian Dankert, Germany
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 60% · book 1.90
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 56% · book 2.02
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 40% · book 2.05
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
0.42 – 2.86
Δ −2.44
Possession
51% – 49%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.90 — +13.7% better than the market.

Borussia Dortmund enter this clash with a clear quality edge and a pressing advantage, despite mixed recent form for both sides. Werder Bremen's defensive solidity may be tested by Dortmund's sharper attack, but home momentum and a compact block could keep the scoreline tight. The pace hints at a moderately open game, with chances for both sides but a likely controlled tempo.

  • Dortmund's offensive threat vs Bremen's defense
  • Home side's recent resilience and tactical discipline
  • Moderate pace suggesting balanced chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.90 ✓ Cashed
AI 60% Implied 53% +0.90u
+90%
ROI on stake

Lineups

WER 4-5-1 · DOR 3-4-2-1
Subs used · WER
46' Friedl ↑ · Pieper
53' Grull ↑ · Schmidt
70' Covic ↑ · Puertas
70' Mbangula ↑ · Musah
90+3' Bittencourt ↑ · Schmid
Subs used · DOR
70' Brandt ↑ · Beier
70' Chukwuemeka ↑ · Inacio
83' Adeyemi ↑ · Bellingham
83' Silva ↑ · Guirassy
88' Couto ↑ · Ryerson

📊 Statistics

WER 02 DOR
51%
Possession (%)
49%
0.42
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.86
9
Total Shots
17
3
Shots on Target
9
3
Shots off Target
3
6
Shots Inside Box
14
4
Corner Kicks
5
4
Offsides
0
8
Fouls
5
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
7
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

12 · 0 – 2
Half-time · 0 – 0
M. Friedl ↓ · A. Pieper ↑
Substitution 1
46'
M. Grull ↓ · I. Schmidt ↑
Substitution 2
53'
59'
S. Guirassy
Assist · J. Ryerson · 0–1
70'
J. Brandt ↓ · M. Beier ↑
Substitution 1
70'
C. Chukwuemeka ↓ · S. Inacio ↑
Substitution 2
P. Covic ↓ · C. Puertas ↑
Substitution 3
70'
S. Mbangula ↓ · S. Musah ↑
Substitution 4
70'
83'
K. Adeyemi ↓ · J. Bellingham ↑
Substitution 3
83'
F. Silva ↓ · S. Guirassy ↑
Substitution 4
88'
Y. Couto ↓ · J. Ryerson ↑
Substitution 5
L. Bittencourt ↓ · R. Schmid ↑
Substitution 5
90+3'
90+5'
Y. Couto
Assist · K. Adeyemi · 0–2
Full-time · 0 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.90 1.91 60% Cashed +0.90 Cashed
Away Win 2.02 2.07 56% Cashed +1.02 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.05 1.91 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.88 1.80 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.63 2.49 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 3.10 3.00 38% Cashed +2.10 Cashed
BTTS No 3.10 3.00 38% Cashed +2.10 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.35 1.30 79% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Under 1.5 6.50 6.49 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.57 1.57 56% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.40 1.35 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.40 1.36 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.21 3.91 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.11 1.07 82% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Home Win 3.53 3.10 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each 7 W · 8 L −0.85u −6% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 3.5
WER – DOR @ 1.90
+13.7%
Edge
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