Match 1899 Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen May 9, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.95 — +14.7% better than the market.

Hoffenheim arrives with clear home momentum, boasting a stronger overall quality and a pressing edge in attack against Bremen's defense. Their recent form shows resilience, while Bremen struggles on the road and defensively. Expect a controlled tempo at PreZero Arena, with Hoffenheim's compact block likely to limit Bremen's chances.

Home side's offensive pressure versus Bremen's shaky defense
Better recent form and home advantage
Moderate pace suggests a tactical, measured game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.95 ✓ Cashed

AI 59% Implied 51% +0.95u

+95%

ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

HOF 1 – 0 WER

72%

Possession (%)

28%

1.44

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.06

15

Total Shots

11

4

Shots on Target

2

8

Shots off Target

5

8

Shots Inside Box

5

8

Corner Kicks

3

4

Fouls

3

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

65%

1

Yellow Cards

2

Goalkeeper Saves

3

⏱ Match events

15 · 1 – 0

5'

▮

Y. Sugawara

Red Card

12'

⇄

I. Schmidt ↓ · S. Musah ↑

Substitution 1

B. Toure

Assist · A. Kramaric · 1–0

⚽

26'

41'

▮

C. Puertas

Yellow Card

Half-time · 1 – 0

A. Prass ↓ · B. Toure ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

57'

Bernardo

Yellow Card

▮

66'

71'

⇄

S. Mbangula ↓ · J. Stage ↑

Substitution 2

71'

⇄

M. Grull ↓ · R. Schmid ↑

Substitution 3

R. Hranac ↓ · Bernardo ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

71'

C. Campbell ↓ · T. Lemperle ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

71'

81'

⇄

M. Wober ↓ · I. Schmidt ↑

Substitution 4

88'

▮

J. Njinmah

Yellow Card

88'

▮

D. Thioune

Yellow Card

G. Promel ↓ · A. Kramaric ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

89'

A. Hlozek ↓ · F. Asllani ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

89'

Full-time · 1 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.95	1.91	59%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
BTTS No	2.63	2.58	42%	Cashed	+1.63	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.77	2.62	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	1.99	1.91	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	3.20	3.00	38%	Cashed	+2.20	Cashed
Home Win	1.50	1.46	69%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Under 1.5	6.50	6.49	18%	Cashed	+5.50	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.16	1.13	88%	Cashed	+0.16	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.50	1.46	58%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.18	1.18	69%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Draw	5.33	5.00	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.11	1.07	82%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.36	1.33	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	6.14	5.62	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.65	4.37	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	+3.12u	+21% ROI