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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Wolves — Brighton

Match Wolves vs Brighton October 5, 2025

Wolves
Wolves
Home · last 5 L D L D D
Kick-off
Sun 05 Oct · 13:00
1:1
Full-time
Brighton
Brighton
W L W L L Away · last 5
Molineux Stadium · Wolverhampton Referee Jarred Gillett, Australia
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 56% · book 1.92
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 59% · book 1.77
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 51% · book 2.05
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
0.56 – 1.15
Δ −0.59
Possession
42% – 58%
AI accuracy
3 / 6
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Wolves vs Brighton — betting preview

Brighton arrive with the stronger all-round level and a healthier recent trend, while Wolves’ home output has struggled to sustain pressure. Expect the visitors to control key phases and generate the cleaner looks, with Wolves leaning more on moments and set pieces. Game state matters: an early away goal can open the match, pushing totals upward and keeping the draw in play if Wolves hang around. Our numbers lean away-sided outcomes and modest value on core goal markets rather than a short price on protection-heavy angles.

Main risks: early Wolves strike flipping the script; penalty/VAR variance; late-game chaos if either side chases.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

WOL 4-3-3 · BRI 4-2-3-1
Subs used · WOL
60' Agbadou ↑ · Hee-Chan
76' Bellegarde ↑ · S. Larsen
77' M. Wolfe ↑ · Bueno
90+1' Arokodare ↑ · Munetsi
90+1' Mosquera ↑ · Gomes
Subs used · BRI
46' Rutter ↑ · Baleba
70' Tzimas ↑ · Gruda
70' De Cuyper ↑ · Wieffer
76' Milner ↑ · Gomez

📊 Statistics

WOL 11 BRI
42%
Possession (%)
58%
0.56
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.15
6
Total Shots
17
3
Shots on Target
6
3
Shots off Target
6
4
Shots Inside Box
10
2
Corner Kicks
8
1
Offsides
3
13
Fouls
9
78%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
2
Yellow Cards
4
5
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

17 · 1 – 1
20'
Carlos Baleba
Yellow Card
B. Verbruggen
Own goal · 1–0
21'
36'
Lewis Dunk
Yellow Card
43'
Mats Wieffer
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
G. Rutter ↓ · C. Baleba ↑
Substitution 1
45+2'
Danny Welbeck
Yellow Card
Santiago Bueno
Yellow Card
51'
E. Agbadou ↓ · Hwang Hee-Chan ↑
Substitution 1
60'
70'
S. Tzimas ↓ · B. Gruda ↑
Substitution 2
70'
M. De Cuyper ↓ · M. Wieffer ↑
Substitution 3
J. Bellegarde ↓ · J. S. Larsen ↑
Substitution 2
76'
76'
J. Milner ↓ · D. Gomez ↑
Substitution 4
D. M. Wolfe ↓ · S. Bueno ↑
Substitution 3
77'
86'
J. P. van Hecke
Assist · S. Tzimas · 1–1
T. Arokodare ↓ · M. Munetsi ↑
Substitution 4
90+1'
Y. Mosquera ↓ · Joao Gomes ↑
Substitution 5
90+1'
André
Yellow Card
90+6'
Full-time · 1 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

6 · 3 W · 3 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.92 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.77 59% Cashed +0.77 Cashed
Away Win 2.05 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.31 78% Cashed +0.31 Cashed
Draw 3.75 27% Cashed +2.75 Cashed
Home Win 3.95 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 6 markets @ 1u each 3 W · 3 L +0.83u +14% ROI