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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Germany Germany Bundesliga Hamburger SV — 1899 Hoffenheim

Match Hamburger SV vs 1899 Hoffenheim April 25, 2026

Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
Home · last 5 L L W W D
Kick-off
Sat 25 Apr · 16:30
1:2
Full-time
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
W W D W L Away · last 5
Volksparkstadion · Hamburg Referee Robert Schröder, Germany
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 60% · book 1.80
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 63% · book 1.66
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 42% · book 2.53
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
1.35 – 1.45
Δ −0.10
Possession
41% – 59%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Hamburger SV faces a tough challenge against 1899 Hoffenheim at Volksparkstadion. Hoffenheim's higher overall quality and offensive edge suggest they can break down HSV's sturdy defense. Despite HSV's slight home momentum, Hoffenheim's sharper attack and recent form hint at an away advantage. The match may see a moderate pace given the balanced goal expectations.

  • Hoffenheim's offensive pressure vs HSV's defense
  • Home side's recent inconsistent form
  • Potential for Hoffenheim to control tempo

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

HAM 3-4-1-2 · HOF 3-4-2-1
Subs used · HAM
64' Stange ↑ · Glatzel
75' S. Lokonga ↑ · Mikelbrencis
75' Gocholeishvili ↑ · Jatta
88' Philippe ↑ · Omari
88' Downs ↑ · Gronbaek
Subs used · HOF
46' Bernardo ↑ · Hranac
64' Promel ↑ · Asllani
75' Prass ↑ · Kramaric
85' Moerstedt ↑ · Lemperle
85' Campbell ↑ · Toure

📊 Statistics

HAM 12 HOF
41%
Possession (%)
59%
1.35
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.45
12
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Target
6
5
Shots off Target
6
11
Shots Inside Box
8
4
Corner Kicks
9
1
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
18
74%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
2
Yellow Cards
4
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

19 · 1 – 2
8'
Robin Hranáč
Yellow Card
18'
F. Asllani
Assist · V. Coufal · 0–1
32'
Oliver Baumann
Yellow Card
R. Glatzel (P)
Penalty · 1–1
34'
45'
T. Lemperle
Assist · A. Hajdari · 1–2
Half-time · 1 – 2
46'
Bernardo ↓ · R. Hranac ↑
Substitution 1
Nicolai Remberg
Yellow Card
49'
O. Stange ↓ · R. Glatzel ↑
Substitution 1
64'
64'
G. Promel ↓ · F. Asllani ↑
Substitution 2
68'
Grischa Promel
Yellow Card
71'
Wouter Burger
Yellow Card
A. S. Lokonga ↓ · W. Mikelbrencis ↑
Substitution 2
75'
G. Gocholeishvili ↓ · B. Jatta ↑
Substitution 3
75'
75'
A. Prass ↓ · A. Kramaric ↑
Substitution 3
85'
M. Moerstedt ↓ · T. Lemperle ↑
Substitution 4
85'
C. Campbell ↓ · B. Toure ↑
Substitution 5
R. Philippe ↓ · W. Omari ↑
Substitution 4
88'
D. Downs ↓ · A. Gronbaek ↑
Substitution 5
88'
Albert Sambi Lokonga
Yellow Card
90+2'
Full-time · 1 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.80 60% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.66 63% Cashed +0.66 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.53 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.53 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.25 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.00 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.40 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.25 82% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.48 59% Cashed +0.48 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.49 58% Cashed +0.49 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.39 60% Cashed +0.39 Cashed
Under 0.5 17.00 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 94% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.14 80% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Draw 4.00 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.96 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.90 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.77u −34% ROI