P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Germany Germany Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund — SC Freiburg

Match Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg April 26, 2026

Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Home · last 5 L W L W W
Kick-off
Sun 26 Apr · 15:30
4:0
Full-time
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
W L D L W Away · last 5
Referee Robin Braun, Germany
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 60% · book 1.65
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 40% · book 2.45
Miss
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 56% · book 1.75
Total goals
4
4 · 0
xG (open play)
3.59 – 0.74
Δ +2.85
Possession
61% – 39%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Borussia Dortmund holds a clear quality edge and home momentum despite recent mixed results. Their strong defensive shape and high offensive output contrast with Freiburg's more modest attack and leaky defense. Dortmund's pressing intensity and set-piece threat could exploit Freiburg's vulnerabilities, while the visitors' recent form shows resilience but may struggle to contain Dortmund's pace.

  • Home side's superior defensive solidity
  • Freiburg's challenge to break down compact blocks
  • Potential for a lively tempo given attacking profiles

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

DOR 3-4-2-1 · FRE 4-2-3-1
Subs used · DOR
74' Svensson ↑ · Inacio
84' Silva ↑ · Guirassy
84' Chukwuemeka ↑ · Brandt
88' Ozcan ↑ · Bellingham
89' Albert ↑ · Beier
Subs used · FRE
67' Philipp ↑ · Matanovic
67' Beste ↑ · Grifo
75' Jung ↑ · Lienhart
75' Irie ↑ · Scherhant
84' Tarnutzer ↑ · Hofler

📊 Statistics

DOR 40 FRE
61%
Possession (%)
39%
3.59
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.74
17
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
3
12
Shots Inside Box
5
5
Corner Kicks
0
0
Offsides
2
19
Fouls
10
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
1
Yellow Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

15 · 4 – 0
M. Beier
Assist · R. Bensebaini · 1–0
8'
S. Guirassy
Assist · J. Brandt · 2–0
14'
R. Bensebaini
Assist · J. Ryerson · 3–0
31'
Half-time · 3 – 0
Jobe Bellingham
Yellow Card
65'
67'
M. Philipp ↓ · I. Matanovic ↑
Substitution 1
67'
J. Beste ↓ · V. Grifo ↑
Substitution 2
D. Svensson ↓ · S. Inacio ↑
Substitution 1
74'
75'
A. Jung ↓ · P. Lienhart ↑
Substitution 3
75'
C. Irie ↓ · D. Scherhant ↑
Substitution 4
F. Silva ↓ · S. Guirassy ↑
Substitution 2
84'
C. Chukwuemeka ↓ · J. Brandt ↑
Substitution 3
84'
84'
R. Tarnutzer ↓ · N. Hofler ↑
Substitution 5
F. Silva
4–0
87'
S. Ozcan ↓ · J. Bellingham ↑
Substitution 4
88'
M. Albert ↓ · M. Beier ↑
Substitution 5
89'
Full-time · 4 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.65 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.45 40% Cashed +1.45 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.75 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.55 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.15 44% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
Home Win 1.46 71% Cashed +0.46 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.12 90% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.58 62% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.95 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.14 71% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Draw 5.20 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 95% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.19 83% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.50 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 19.50 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 7.50 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 5.75 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.88u −29% ROI