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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › FSV Mainz 05 — Bayern München

Match FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München April 25, 2026

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Home · last 5 D L W L W
Kick-off
Sat 25 Apr · 13:30
3:4
Full-time
Bayern München
Bayern München
W W D W W Away · last 5
Mewa Arena · Mainz Referee Martin Petersen, Germany
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 57% · book 2.02 ✓
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 63% · book 1.66 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 33% · book 2.63 ✗
Total goals
7
3 · 4
xG (open play)
2.40 – 1.97
Δ +0.43
Possession
30% – 70%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Bayern München enters this clash with a clear quality edge and strong away momentum, boasting a flawless recent run. Mainz shows signs of resilience at home but faces a tough defensive challenge against Bayern's potent attack. The pace is likely to be brisk, with both sides capable of goals, supported by recent high-scoring trends and Bayern's superior offensive firepower.

  • Mainz's compact block may limit Bayern's chances early on.
  • Bayern's pressing edge and clinical finishing could break the deadlock.
  • Expect a lively tempo with goal opportunities on both ends.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

MAI 3-5-2 · BAY 4-2-3-1
MAI · 3-5-2 4-2-3-1 · BAY 33 Batz 21 Costa 4 Posch 31 Kohr ⚽ 30 Widmer 8 Nebel ⚽ 6 Sano 10 Amiri 2 Mwene 23 Becker ⚽ 20 Tietz 40 Urbig 27 Laimer 3 Kim 21 Itō 19 Davies 39 Ndiaye 45 Pavlović 22 Guerreiro 8 Goretzka 14 Díaz 11 Jackson ⚽
Subs used · MAI
71' Sieb ↑ · Becker ↓
79' Maloney ↑ · Amiri ↓
80' Caci ↑ · Widmer ↓
85' Boving ↑ · Nebel ↓
85' Weiper ↑ · Kohr ↓
Subs used · BAY
46' Olise ↑ · Diaz ↓
46' Kane ↑ · Pavlovic ↓
57' Stanisic ↑ · Davies ↓
57' Musiala ↑ · Guerreiro ↓
77' Tah ↑ · Ndiaye ↓

📊 Statistics

MAI 3 – 4 BAY
30%
Possession (%)
70%
2.40
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.97
21
Total Shots
11
8
Shots on Target
6
8
Shots off Target
4
15
Shots Inside Box
10
4
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
0
14
Fouls
10
75%
Pass Accuracy (%)
90%
1
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5

⏱ Match events

20 · 3 – 4
D. Kohr
Assist · K. Sano · 1–0
⚽
15'
Dominik Kohr
Yellow Card
▮
20'
P. Nebel
2–0
⚽
29'
33'
▮
Konrad Laimer
Yellow Card
S. Becker
3–0
⚽
45'
Half-time · 3 – 0
46'
⇄
M. Olise ↓ · L. Diaz ↑
Substitution 1
46'
⇄
H. Kane ↓ · A. Pavlovic ↑
Substitution 2
53'
⚽
N. Jackson
Assist · K. Laimer · 3–1
57'
⇄
J. Stanisic ↓ · A. Davies ↑
Substitution 3
57'
⇄
J. Musiala ↓ · R. Guerreiro ↑
Substitution 4
A. Sieb ↓ · S. Becker ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
71'
73'
⚽
M. Olise
Assist · K. Laimer · 3–2
77'
⇄
J. Tah ↓ · B. Ndiaye ↑
Substitution 5
L. Maloney ↓ · N. Amiri ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
79'
A. Caci ↓ · S. Widmer ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
80'
80'
⚽
J. Musiala
3–3
83'
⚽
H. Kane
3–4
W. Boving ↓ · P. Nebel ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
85'
N. Weiper ↓ · D. Kohr ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
85'
90+7'
▮
Michael Olise
Yellow Card
Full-time · 3 – 4

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 2.02 — 57% Cashed +1.02 Cashed
Away Win 1.66 — 63% Cashed +0.66 Cashed
BTTS No 2.63 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.20 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.80 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.40 — 76% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.20 — 84% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.44 — 67% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.26 — 63% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.88 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.10 — 90% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Draw 4.45 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.40 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 6.00 — 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.42 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 8 L −4.92u −33% ROI