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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › FC St. Pauli — 1. FC Köln

Match FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Köln April 17, 2026

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Home · last 5 D L L L L
Kick-off
Fri 17 Apr · 18:30
1:1
Full-time
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
D L D L L Away · last 5
Millerntor-Stadion · Hamburg Referee Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 58% · book 1.81 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 54% · book 1.95 ✗
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 42% · book 2.17 ✗
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.79 – 1.25
Δ +0.54
Possession
49% – 51%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

1.FC Köln enters this clash with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Their stronger attack against St. Pauli's sturdy defense sets up an intriguing tactical battle. St. Pauli's home momentum is limited, but their compact block could frustrate Köln's forward line. The match hints at a moderate pace with a balanced goal environment.

  • Köln's offensive pressure vs St. Pauli's defense
  • Home side's defensive resilience
  • Recent form favors the visitors

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

PAU 3-4-2-1 · KOL 4-4-2
PAU · 3-4-2-1 4-4-2 · KOL 22 Vasilj 15 Ando 5 Wahl 3 Mets ⚽ 11 Pyrka 20 Rasmussen 7 Irvine 21 Ritzka 10 Sinani 28 Lage 27 Hountondji 1 Schwabe 28 Sebulonsen 22 Simpson-Pusey 39 Özkaçar 17 Castro-Montes 29 Thielmann 18 Jóhannesson 6 Martel 16 Kamiński 9 Ache 13 Mala
Subs used · PAU
65' Saliakas ↑ · Ritzka ↓
77' Metcalfe ↑ · Hountondji ↓
87' Kaars ↑ · Pereira Lage ↓
Subs used · KOL
46' Maina ↑ · Thielmann ↓
51' Bulter ↑ · Ache ↓
70' Lund ↑ · Castro-Montes ↓
79' Waldschmidt ↑ · Johannesson ↓
79' Chavez ↑ · Sebulonsen ↓

📊 Statistics

PAU 1 – 1 KOL
49%
Possession (%)
51%
1.79
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.25
13
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
1
4
Shots off Target
5
8
Shots Inside Box
6
8
Corner Kicks
5
3
Offsides
1
6
Fouls
2
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
4
Yellow Cards
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4

⏱ Match events

15 · 1 – 1
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
⇄
L. Maina ↓ · J. Thielmann ↑
Substitution 1
51'
⇄
M. Bulter ↓ · R. Ache ↑
Substitution 2
M. Saliakas ↓ · L. Ritzka ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
65'
K. Mets
Assist · H. Wahl · 1–0
⚽
69'
70'
⇄
K. Lund ↓ · A. Castro-Montes ↑
Substitution 3
Andreas Hountondji
Yellow Card
▮
71'
Tomoya Ando
Yellow Card
▮
76'
C. Metcalfe ↓ · A. Hountondji ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
77'
79'
⇄
L. Waldschmidt ↓ · I. Johannesson ↑
Substitution 4
79'
⇄
F. Chavez ↓ · S. Sebulonsen ↑
Substitution 5
86'
⚽
L. Waldschmidt (P)
Penalty · 1–1
Mathias Pereira Lage
Yellow Card
▮
87'
87'
▮
Said El Mala
Yellow Card
M. Kaars ↓ · M. Pereira Lage ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
87'
Danel Sinani
Yellow Card
▮
90+6'
Full-time · 1 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.81 — 58% Cashed +0.81 Cashed
BTTS No 1.95 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.17 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.91 — 46% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Home Win 2.80 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.96 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.98 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.15 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.50 — 70% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.51 — 58% Cashed +0.51 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.30 — 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.29 — 78% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.50 — 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.08 — 90% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Draw 3.39 — 28% Cashed +2.39 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.38 — 68% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.10 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.13u −18% ROI