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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Chelsea — Liverpool

Match Chelsea vs Liverpool October 4, 2025

Chelsea
Chelsea
Home · last 5 L L D W L
Kick-off
Sat 04 Oct · 16:30
2:1
Full-time
Liverpool
Liverpool
W L D L D Away · last 5
Stamford Bridge · London Referee Anthony Taylor, England
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 39% · book 2.71
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 44% · book 2.37
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 42% · book 2.46
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
0.88 – 1.74
Δ −0.86
Possession
53% – 47%
AI accuracy
1 / 7
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Chelsea vs Liverpool: Liverpool arrive with the stronger overall profile and recent shot quality, but Stamford Bridge keeps the contest competitive. Expect the visitors to control territory, while Chelsea look to break through quick transitions and set-plays.

Pace projects medium-high. A single early goal could open the game, yet our baseline keeps both the draw and the under pathway live. Core angles (1X2, Double Chance, O/U 2.5) price out best under our blend.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

CHE 4-2-3-1 · LIV 4-2-3-1
Subs used · CHE
55' Lavia ↑ · Badiashile
68' Hato ↑ · Acheampong
74' Guiu ↑ · Pedro
75' Gittens ↑ · Garnacho
75' Estêvão ↑ · Neto
Subs used · LIV
46' Wirtz ↑ · Bradley
55' Robertson ↑ · Kerkez
56' Jones ↑ · Konate
74' Ekitike ↑ · Isak
86' Endo ↑ · Mac Allister

📊 Statistics

CHE 21 LIV
53%
Possession (%)
47%
0.88
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.74
12
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Target
2
4
Shots off Target
5
6
Shots Inside Box
8
7
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
2
10
Fouls
8
83%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
0
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

15 · 2 – 1
M. Caicedo
Assist · M. Gusto · 1–0
14'
34'
Conor Bradley
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
F. Wirtz ↓ · C. Bradley ↑
Substitution 1
R. Lavia ↓ · B. Badiashile ↑
Substitution 1
55'
55'
A. Robertson ↓ · M. Kerkez ↑
Substitution 2
56'
C. Jones ↓ · I. Konate ↑
Substitution 3
63'
C. Gakpo
Assist · A. Isak · 1–1
J. Hato ↓ · J. Acheampong ↑
Substitution 2
68'
M. Guiu ↓ · Joao Pedro ↑
Substitution 3
74'
74'
H. Ekitike ↓ · A. Isak ↑
Substitution 4
J. Gittens ↓ · A. Garnacho ↑
Substitution 4
75'
Estêvão ↓ · P. Neto ↑
Substitution 5
75'
79'
Dominik Szoboszlai
Yellow Card
86'
W. Endo ↓ · A. Mac Allister ↑
Substitution 5
Estevao
Assist · M. Cucurella · 2–1
90'
Full-time · 2 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 1 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.71 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.37 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.46 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.45 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.64 62% Cashed +0.64 Cashed
Draw 3.92 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.48 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each 1 W · 6 L −5.36u −77% ROI