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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Germany Germany Bundesliga 1899 Hoffenheim — Borussia Dortmund

Match 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund April 18, 2026

1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
Home · last 5 W W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 18 Apr · 13:30
2:1
Full-time
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
L W L W W Away · last 5
PreZero Arena · Sinsheim Referee Daniel Siebert, Germany
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 48% · book 2.54
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 43% · book 2.32
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 35% · book 2.80
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
2.11 – 0.73
Δ +1.38
Possession
46% – 54%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Borussia Dortmund arrives at PreZero Arena with a clear quality edge and recent winning momentum, despite Hoffenheim's stronger recent form points per game. Dortmund's potent attack faces a less resilient Hoffenheim defense, suggesting chances for goals. Hoffenheim's home edge is moderate, but Dortmund's pressing and tactical discipline could tilt the balance.

  • Dortmund's offensive pressure vs Hoffenheim's defense
  • Hoffenheim's home momentum vs Dortmund's quality gap
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical battles

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

HOF 4-2-3-1 · DOR 3-4-2-1
Subs used · HOF
60' Prass ↑ · Toure
60' Promel ↑ · Burger
72' Hranac ↑ · Bernardo
82' Moerstedt ↑ · Lemperle
Subs used · DOR
42' Bensebaini ↑ · Sule
60' Guirassy ↑ · Silva
71' Inacio ↑ · Sabitzer
71' Brandt ↑ · Svensson

📊 Statistics

HOF 21 DOR
46%
Possession (%)
54%
2.11
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.73
13
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
3
4
Shots off Target
3
8
Shots Inside Box
6
4
Corner Kicks
3
6
Offsides
3
14
Fouls
11
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
2
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

16 · 2 – 1
Wouter Burger
Yellow Card
31'
42'
R. Bensebaini ↓ · N. Sule ↑
Substitution 1
A. Kramaric (P)
Penalty · 1–0
42'
Half-time · 1 – 0
A. Prass ↓ · B. Toure ↑
Substitution 1
60'
G. Promel ↓ · W. Burger ↑
Substitution 2
60'
60'
S. Guirassy ↓ · F. Silva ↑
Substitution 2
71'
S. Inacio ↓ · M. Sabitzer ↑
Substitution 3
71'
J. Brandt ↓ · D. Svensson ↑
Substitution 4
R. Hranac ↓ · Bernardo ↑
Substitution 3
72'
Alexander Prass
Yellow Card
77'
M. Moerstedt ↓ · T. Lemperle ↑
Substitution 4
82'
84'
Nico Schlotterbeck
Yellow Card
87'
S. Guirassy
Assist · R. Bensebaini · 1–1
A. Kramaric (P)
Penalty · 2–1
90'
90+7'
Julian Ryerson
Yellow Card
90+10'
Samuele Inacio
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.54 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.32 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.80 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.71 57% Cashed +0.71 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.70 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.92 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.68 29% Cashed +1.68 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.06 29% Cashed +1.06 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.53 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.52 64% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.47 65% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.58 52% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 96% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.17 84% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Under 1.5 6.00 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.10 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 21.00 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.78u −22% ROI