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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Hamburger SV — FC Augsburg

Match Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg April 4, 2026

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
Home · last 5 L L W W D
Kick-off
Sat 04 Apr · 13:30
1:1
Full-time
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
W D W W L Away · last 5
Volksparkstadion · Hamburg Referee Deniz Aytekin, Germany
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 52% · book 2.08 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 48% · book 2.25 ✗
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 63% · book 1.67 ✓
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.59 – 2.29
Δ −0.70
Possession
53% – 47%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.08 — +8.9% better than the market.

Hamburger SV hosts FC Augsburg in a Bundesliga clash where the visitors hold a slight quality edge. Augsburg's sharper attack meets Hamburg's robust defense, suggesting a tactical battle. Home momentum is visible with recent mixed results, while Augsburg's form hints at a late surge. The match may lean towards a compact, cautious tempo given balanced xG and moderate goal expectations.

  • Hamburg's defensive solidity vs Augsburg's offensive threat
  • Close recent form but Augsburg's late wins add confidence
  • Balanced xG suggests a tight, tactical contest

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.08 ✓ Cashed
AI 52% Implied 48% +1.08u
+108%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

HAM 3-4-2-1 · AUG 3-4-2-1
HAM · 3-4-2-1 3-4-2-1 · AUG 1 Fernandes 17 Omari 44 Vušković 25 Torunarigha 2 Mikelbrencis 6 Lokonga 20 Vieira 28 Muheim 11 Königsdörffer ⚽ 27 Otele 9 Glatzel 1 Dahmen 34 Chaves ⚽ 31 Schlotterbeck 16 Zesiger 27 Wolf 19 Fellhauer 32 Rieder 13 Giannoulis 30 Kade 20 Claude-Maurice 38 Gregoritsch
Subs used · HAM
46' Philippe ↑ · Otele ↓
67' Gocholeishvili ↑ · Konigsdorffer ↓
67' Gronbaek ↑ · Glatzel ↓
90+5' Stange ↑
Subs used · AUG
80' Ribeiro ↑ · Kade ↓
80' Massengo ↑ · Fellhauer ↓
90' Ogundu ↑ · Claude-Maurice ↓

📊 Statistics

HAM 1 – 1 AUG
53%
Possession (%)
47%
1.59
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.29
18
Total Shots
18
4
Shots on Target
3
9
Shots off Target
12
12
Shots Inside Box
15
9
Corner Kicks
2
0
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
12
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
2
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

⏱ Match events

15 · 1 – 1
22'
⚽
Arthur Chaves
0–1
Philip Otele
Yellow Card
▮
41'
Half-time · 0 – 1
R. Philippe ↓ · P. Otele ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
Jordan Torunarigha
Yellow Card
▮
55'
59'
▮
Fabian Rieder
Yellow Card
R. Konigsdorffer
Assist · R. Glatzel · 1–1
⚽
60'
Miro Muheim
Red Card
▮
64'
G. Gocholeishvili ↓ · R. Konigsdorffer ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
67'
A. Gronbaek ↓ · R. Glatzel ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
67'
80'
⇄
R. Ribeiro ↓ · A. Kade ↑
Substitution 1
80'
⇄
H. Massengo ↓ · R. Fellhauer ↑
Substitution 2
81'
▮
Cedric Zesiger
Yellow Card
87'
▮
Keven Schlotterbeck
Yellow Card
90'
⇄
U. Ogundu ↓ · A. Claude-Maurice ↑
Substitution 3
O. Stange ↓ ·
Substitution 4
⇄
90+5'
Full-time · 1 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.08 — 52% Cashed +1.08 Cashed
BTTS No 2.25 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.67 — 63% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.87 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.34 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.67 — 52% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.35 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.67 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.30 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.00 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.42 — 73% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.38 — 63% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.05 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 12.00 — 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 — 91% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.27 — 73% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Draw 3.60 — 25% Cashed +2.60 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.85u −17% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
HAM – AUG @ 2.08
+8.9%
Edge
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