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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Germany Germany Bundesliga SC Freiburg — Bayern München

Match SC Freiburg vs Bayern München April 4, 2026

SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
Home · last 5 W L D L W
Kick-off
Sat 04 Apr · 13:30
2:3
Full-time
Bayern München
Bayern München
W W D W W Away · last 5
Europa-Park Stadion · Freiburg im Breisgau Referee Daniel Siebert, Germany
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 59% · book 2.02
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 33% · book 2.44
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 41% · book 1.92
Total goals
5
2 · 3
xG (open play)
1.82 – 2.80
Δ −0.98
Possession
30% – 70%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Bayern München enter this clash with a clear quality edge and strong recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Their potent attack should challenge Freiburg's defense, which has shown some vulnerability. Freiburg's home momentum and compact block could limit Bayern's chances, but the visitors' offensive firepower and pressing edge likely tilt the balance.

  • Bayern's superior offensive efficiency versus Freiburg's defense
  • Freiburg's decent home form but recent inconsistency
  • High tempo expected, favoring Bayern's dynamic play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

FRE 4-2-3-1 · BAY 4-2-3-1
Subs used · FRE
65' Kubler ↑ · Gunter
78' Matanovic ↑ · Manzambi
78' Irie ↑ · Beste
89' Ogbus ↑ · Holer
90' Hofler ↑ · Suzuki
Subs used · BAY
56' Laimer ↑ · Tah
56' Olise ↑ · Guerreiro
56' Pavlovic ↑ · Goretzka
65' Musiala ↑ · Gnabry
87' Davies ↑ · Min-Jae

📊 Statistics

FRE 23 BAY
30%
Possession (%)
70%
1.82
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.80
13
Total Shots
21
4
Shots on Target
9
5
Shots off Target
5
9
Shots Inside Box
8
5
Corner Kicks
8
4
Offsides
1
9
Fouls
13
74%
Pass Accuracy (%)
89%
2
Yellow Cards
3
6
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

21 · 2 – 3
Christian Günter
Yellow Card
-5'
25'
Jonathan Tah
Yellow Card
Matthias Ginter
Yellow Card
29'
Half-time · 0 – 0
J. Manzambi
Assist · M. Eggestein · 1–0
46'
56'
K. Laimer ↓ · J. Tah ↑
Substitution 1
56'
M. Olise ↓ · R. Guerreiro ↑
Substitution 2
56'
A. Pavlovic ↓ · L. Goretzka ↑
Substitution 3
L. Kubler ↓ · C. Gunter ↑
Substitution 1
65'
65'
J. Musiala ↓ · S. Gnabry ↑
Substitution 4
L. Holer
2–0
71'
73'
Michael Olise
Yellow Card
I. Matanovic ↓ · J. Manzambi ↑
Substitution 2
78'
C. Irie ↓ · J. Beste ↑
Substitution 3
78'
81'
T. Bischof
Assist · L. Karl · 2–1
87'
A. Davies ↓ · Kim Min-Jae ↑
Substitution 5
B. Ogbus ↓ · L. Holer ↑
Substitution 4
89'
N. Hofler ↓ · Y. Suzuki ↑
Substitution 5
90'
90'
T. Bischof
Assist · M. Olise · 2–2
90'
L. Karl
Assist · A. Davies · 2–3
Noah Atubolu
Yellow Card
90+9'
90+10'
Lennart Karl
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 3

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 2.02 59% Cashed +1.02 Cashed
BTTS No 2.44 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.92 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.57 67% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Away Win 1.44 72% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.39 77% Cashed +0.39 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.13 90% Cashed +0.13 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 3.02 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.16 72% Cashed +0.16 Cashed
Under 2.5 3.20 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.12 91% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
Draw 5.61 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 98% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Home Win 7.50 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 7.50 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 26.00 3% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 5.25 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −6.15u −36% ROI