P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Germany Germany Bundesliga 1. FC Köln — Borussia Mönchengladbach

Match 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach March 21, 2026

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
Home · last 5 D L D L L
Kick-off
Sat 21 Mar · 14:30
3:3
Full-time
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
D D W L W Away · last 5
Referee Sören Storks, Germany
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 50% · book 2.39
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 50% · book 2.17
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 46% · book 2.38
Total goals
6
3 · 3
xG (open play)
1.55 – 1.14
Δ +0.41
Possession
51% – 49%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.17 — +9.5% better than the market.

1.FC Köln holds a clear quality edge and a solid home defensive record, which could frustrate Borussia Mönchengladbach’s attack. Despite Köln’s recent patchy form, their home momentum and defensive compactness may limit Gladbach’s chances. Gladbach’s slightly better recent form and pressing edge hint at some attacking threat, but overall the match looks balanced with a modest pace suggested by odds.

  • Köln’s home defense is a key factor
  • Gladbach’s recent form shows signs of resilience
  • Moderate tempo likely to keep scoring chances limited

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.17 ✗ Lost
AI 50% Implied 46% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

KOL 4-2-3-1 · MOE 3-4-2-1
Subs used · KOL
70' Thielmann ↑ · Neumann
70' Chavez ↑ · Johannesson
77' Kainz ↑ · El Mala
77' Waldschmidt ↑ · Maina
77' Bulter ↑ · Ache
Subs used · MOE
85' Bolin ↑ · Stoger
85' Ullrich ↑ · Castrop
88' Machino ↑ · Honorat
88' Friedrich ↑ · Scally

📊 Statistics

KOL 33 MOE
51%
Possession (%)
49%
1.55
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.14
12
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
2
9
Shots Inside Box
7
5
Corner Kicks
3
0
Offsides
4
8
Fouls
14
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
77%
8
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

26 · 3 – 3
1'
J. Castrop
Assist · F. Honorat · 0–1
S. El Mala
Assist · I. Johannesson · 1–1
4'
R. Ache
Assist · J. Kaminski · 2–1
7'
20'
P. Sander
2–2
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
Yellow Card
38'
Half-time · 2 – 2
Marvin Schwäbe
Yellow Card
52'
60'
J. Castrop
Assist · Y. Engelhardt · 2–3
Jakub Kamiński
Yellow Card
61'
J. Thielmann ↓ · C. Neumann ↑
Substitution 1
70'
F. Chavez ↓ · I. Johannesson ↑
Substitution 2
70'
Cenk Özkaçar
Yellow Card
71'
71'
Haris Tabaković
Yellow Card
Eric Martel
Yellow Card
73'
Jan Thielmann
Yellow Card
76'
F. Kainz ↓ · S. El Mala ↑
Substitution 3
77'
L. Waldschmidt ↓ · L. Maina ↑
Substitution 4
77'
M. Bulter ↓ · R. Ache ↑
Substitution 5
77'
E. Martel
Assist · F. Kainz · 3–3
84'
85'
H. Bolin ↓ · K. Stoger ↑
Substitution 1
85'
L. Ullrich ↓ · J. Castrop ↑
Substitution 2
Eric Martel
Yellow Card
86'
Eric Martel
Red Card
86'
88'
S. Machino ↓ · F. Honorat ↑
Substitution 3
88'
M. Friedrich ↓ · J. Scally ↑
Substitution 4
90'
Rocco Reitz
Yellow Card
Florian Kainz
Yellow Card
90+1'
Full-time · 3 – 3

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.39 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.17 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.38 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.86 50% Cashed +0.86 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.64 54% Cashed +0.64 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.74 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.65 50% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
AH Away 0 2.27 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.41 76% Cashed +0.41 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.35 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.42 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.00 28% Cashed +2.00 Cashed
Away Win 3.15 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.40 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 92% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.27 74% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Draw 3.60 26% Cashed +2.60 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −1.51u −9% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
KOL – MOE @ 2.17
+9.5%
Edge
Forecast →