P
Prognosist
Login Sign Up →
P
Login Sign Up
⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › FC St. Pauli — SC Freiburg

Match FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg March 22, 2026

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Home · last 5 D L L L L
Kick-off
Sun 22 Mar · 16:30
1:2
Full-time
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
W L D L W Away · last 5
Millerntor-Stadion · Hamburg Referee Florian Badstubner, Germany
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 55% · book 1.94 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 61% · book 1.69 ✗
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 39% · book 2.36 ✓
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
0.76 – 2.04
Δ −1.28
Possession
49% – 51%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

FC St. Pauli hosts SC Freiburg in a Bundesliga clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge. Freiburg's stronger attack faces a home defense that has struggled, suggesting they could break through. However, St. Pauli's recent home form shows resilience, and their slightly better recent points per game hints at home momentum. Expect a tactical battle with Freiburg pressing high and St. Pauli relying on set-piece threats.

  • Freiburg's offensive edge vs St. Pauli's leaky defense
  • Home momentum from St. Pauli's recent results
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

PAU 3-4-2-1 · FRE 4-2-3-1
PAU · 3-4-2-1 4-2-3-1 · FRE 22 Vasilj 5 Wahl 8 Smith 15 Ando 11 Pyrka 20 Rasmussen 7 Irvine 21 Ritzka 16 Fujita 28 Lage 10 Sinani ⚽ 1 Atubolu 29 Treu 28 Ginter 43 Ogbus 33 Makengo 8 Eggestein 44 Manzambi 19 Beste 14 Suzuki 32 Grifo 31 Matanović ⚽
Subs used · PAU
68' Oppie ↑ · Ritzka ↓
84' Hountondji ↑ · Pereira Lage ↓
84' Metcalfe ↑ · Rasmussen ↓
89' Kaars ↑ · Ando ↓
Subs used · FRE
46' Lienhart ↑ · Ogbus ↓
46' Irie ↑ · Beste ↓
68' Scherhant ↑ · Grifo ↓
86' Holer ↑ · Matanovic ↓
89' Osterhage ↑ · Manzambi ↓

📊 Statistics

PAU 1 – 2 FRE
49%
Possession (%)
51%
0.76
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.04
11
Total Shots
15
5
Shots on Target
6
4
Shots off Target
6
6
Shots Inside Box
13
3
Corner Kicks
2
5
Offsides
3
9
Fouls
6
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
1
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4

⏱ Match events

14 · 1 – 2
Tomoya Ando
Yellow Card
▮
14'
D. Sinani
Assist · T. Ando · 1–0
⚽
24'
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
⇄
P. Lienhart ↓ · B. Ogbus ↑
Substitution 1
46'
⇄
C. Irie ↓ · J. Beste ↑
Substitution 2
65'
⚽
I. Matanovic
1–1
L. Oppie ↓ · L. Ritzka ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
68'
68'
⇄
D. Scherhant ↓ · V. Grifo ↑
Substitution 3
78'
⚽
I. Matanovic
1–2
A. Hountondji ↓ · M. Pereira Lage ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
84'
C. Metcalfe ↓ · M. Rasmussen ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
84'
86'
⇄
L. Holer ↓ · I. Matanovic ↑
Substitution 4
M. Kaars ↓ · T. Ando ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
89'
89'
⇄
P. Osterhage ↓ · J. Manzambi ↑
Substitution 5
90+8'
▮
Yuito Suzuki
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 2

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.94 — 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.69 — 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.36 — 39% Cashed +1.36 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.95 — 45% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.97 — 43% Cashed +0.97 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.97 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.48 — 73% Cashed +0.48 Cashed
Away Win 2.90 — 43% Cashed +1.90 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.10 — 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.44 — 66% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Draw 3.11 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.47 — 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.87 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 9.00 — 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.24 — 81% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.10 — 89% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.50 — 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.56u −15% ROI