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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Germany Germany Bundesliga Union Berlin — Bayer Leverkusen

Match Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen February 21, 2026

Union Berlin
Union Berlin
Home · last 5 L L D W W
Kick-off
Sat 21 Feb · 14:30
1:0
Full-time
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
L W W L D Away · last 5
Stadion An der Alten Försterei · Berlin Referee Harm Osmers, Germany
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 49% · book 2.48
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 52% · book 1.98
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 44% · book 2.18
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
0.64 – 0.95
Δ −0.31
Possession
35% – 65%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Bayer Leverkusen holds a clear quality edge over Union Berlin, boasting stronger offensive and defensive metrics. Despite Union's slight home momentum, their recent form shows inconsistency, while Leverkusen arrives on a winning streak, suggesting confidence and sharpness. The home side's defensive solidity might be tested by Leverkusen's attacking threat, hinting at a tactical battle where the visitors could press for control.

  • Leverkusen's offensive edge against Union's defense
  • Union's patchy recent form vs Leverkusen's momentum
  • Moderate pace expected, balanced goal potential

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

UNI 3-4-2-1 · BAY 3-4-2-1
Subs used · UNI
11' Trimmel ↑ · Haberer
71' Kral ↑ · Woo-Yeong
85' Skarke ↑ · Schafer
86' Ansah ↑ · Ilic
Subs used · BAY
61' Lucas ↑ · Arthur
61' Schick ↑ · Kofane
61' Poku ↑ · Fernandez
68' Hofmann ↑ · Bade
81' Terrier ↑ · Tillman

📊 Statistics

UNI 10 BAY
35%
Possession (%)
65%
0.64
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.95
8
Total Shots
16
4
Shots on Target
1
1
Shots off Target
10
7
Shots Inside Box
6
4
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
1
15
Fouls
7
70%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
5
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

17 · 1 – 0
Stanley N'Soki
Yellow Card
3'
Janik Haberer
Yellow Card
10'
C. Trimmel ↓ · J. Haberer ↑
Substitution 1
11'
R. Khedira
Assist · A. Kemlein · 1–0
28'
Andrej Ilić
Yellow Card
44'
Half-time · 1 – 0
Leopold Querfeld
Yellow Card
60'
61'
Lucas ↓ · Arthur ↑
Substitution 1
61'
P. Schick ↓ · C. Kofane ↑
Substitution 2
61'
E. Poku ↓ · E. Fernandez ↑
Substitution 3
68'
J. Hofmann ↓ · L. Bade ↑
Substitution 4
A. Kral ↓ · Jeong Woo-Yeong ↑
Substitution 2
71'
81'
M. Terrier ↓ · M. Tillman ↑
Substitution 5
83'
Jonas Hofmann
Yellow Card
T. Skarke ↓ · A. Schafer ↑
Substitution 3
85'
I. Ansah ↓ · A. Ilic ↑
Substitution 4
86'
88'
Robert Andrich
Yellow Card
Frederik Rønnow
Yellow Card
90+3'
Full-time · 1 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.48 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.98 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.18 44% Cashed +1.18 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.73 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.96 48% Cashed +0.96 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.83 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.61 51% Cashed +0.61 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.20 25% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.42 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.08 25% Cashed +2.08 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.30 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.31 76% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.07 93% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.36 69% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Draw 3.50 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.80 24% Cashed +2.80 Cashed
Under 0.5 11.00 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +0.26u +2% ROI