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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Germany Germany Bundesliga SC Freiburg — Borussia Mönchengladbach

Match SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach February 22, 2026

SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
Home · last 5 W L D L W
Kick-off
Sun 22 Feb · 14:30
2:1
Full-time
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
D D W L W Away · last 5
Europa-Park Stadion · Freiburg im Breisgau Referee Daniel Siebert, Germany
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 56% · book 2.06
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 46% · book 2.23
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 49% · book 2.02
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.74 – 0.67
Δ +1.07
Possession
37% – 63%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

SC Freiburg holds a clear quality edge and home momentum, showing stronger recent form and a more potent attack against Mönchengladbach's defense. Their compact block and pressing intensity could limit the visitors' chances. Borussia Mönchengladbach's resilience and ability to draw matches suggest a cautious contest, but Freiburg's home edge and sharper offensive threat hint at a likely home advantage.

  • Freiburg's superior overall strength and home form
  • Effective pressing and defensive solidity
  • Mönchengladbach's tendency for draws and defensive resilience

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

FRE 4-2-3-1 · MOE 3-5-2
Subs used · FRE
79' Holer ↑ · Suzuki
79' Scherhant ↑ · Grifo
Subs used · MOE
62' Castrop ↑ · Bolin
62' Mohya ↑ · Engelhardt
62' Machino ↑ · Ullrich
83' Stoger ↑ · Diks

📊 Statistics

FRE 21 MOE
37%
Possession (%)
63%
1.74
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.67
10
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Target
2
1
Shots off Target
5
6
Shots Inside Box
6
3
Corner Kicks
3
4
Offsides
3
9
Fouls
8
72%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
1
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

12 · 2 – 1
27'
Yannik Engelhardt
Yellow Card
M. Ginter
1–0
38'
Half-time · 1 – 0
Jan-Niklas Beste
Yellow Card
51'
62'
J. Castrop ↓ · H. Bolin ↑
Substitution 1
62'
W. Mohya ↓ · Y. Engelhardt ↑
Substitution 2
62'
S. Machino ↓ · L. Ullrich ↑
Substitution 3
I. Matanovic
2–0
74'
77'
Kota Takai
Yellow Card
L. Holer ↓ · Y. Suzuki ↑
Substitution 1
79'
D. Scherhant ↓ · V. Grifo ↑
Substitution 2
79'
83'
K. Stoger ↓ · K. Diks ↑
Substitution 4
85'
H. Tabakovic
Assist · K. Stoger · 2–1
Full-time · 2 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.06 56% Cashed +1.06 Cashed
BTTS No 2.23 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.02 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.92 51% Cashed +0.92 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.75 54% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.89 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.30 83% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.40 70% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.45 56% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.07 92% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.01 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.29 76% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.25 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.40 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 11.00 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.05 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.33 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.76u −28% ROI