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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Aston Villa — Fulham

Match Aston Villa vs Fulham September 28, 2025

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Home · last 5 L L D W W
Kick-off
Sun 28 Sep · 13:00
3:1
Full-time
Fulham
Fulham
W L L D W Away · last 5
Villa Park · Birmingham Referee Andy Madley, England
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 42% · book 2.43
Miss
Draw
Draw
AI 29% · book 3.30
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 30% · book 3.41
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
1.40 – 0.90
Δ +0.50
Possession
48% – 52%
AI accuracy
6 / 10
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

This match features Aston Villa struggling for form and goals at home, showing a cautious and low-scoring pattern. Fulham arrives with better recent results and a more balanced attacking profile, though their away performances suggest some defensive vulnerability. The game is likely to be tight and low tempo, with limited clear-cut chances. The model leans slightly towards a home win given Villa's defensive solidity at Villa Park, but the draw and away win remain well within reach. Totals markets favor under 2.5 goals, and both teams scoring is plausible but not strongly favored. Asian handicap and double chance options offer moderate value for cautious backing.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

AST 4-2-3-1 · FUL 4-2-3-1
Subs used · AST
32' Torres ↑ · Mings
46' Buendía ↑ · Elliott
72' Kamara ↑ · McGinn
82' Lindelöf ↑ · Bogarde
83' Malen ↑ · Guessand
Subs used · FUL
11' Traoré ↑ · Jiménez
65' Rowe ↑ · King
65' Kevin ↑ · Iwobi
80' Chukwueze ↑ · Wilson
80' Robinson ↑ · Sessegnon

📊 Statistics

AST 31 FUL
48%
Possession (%)
52%
1.40
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.90
9
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
3
Shots off Target
4
4
Shots Inside Box
9
2
Corner Kicks
8
2
Offsides
4
10
Fouls
13
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
1
Yellow Cards
4
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

19 · 3 – 1
3'
Raúl Jiménez
Assist · Saša Lukić · 0–1
11'
Adama Traoré ↓ · Raúl Jiménez ↑
Substitution 1
22'
Joshua King
Yellow Card
Pau Torres ↓ · Tyrone Mings ↑
Substitution 1
32'
34'
Saša Lukić
Yellow Card
Ollie Watkins
Assist · Lucas Digne · 1–1
37'
45+1'
Harry Wilson
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 1
Emiliano Buendía ↓ · Harvey Elliott ↑
Substitution 2
46'
John McGinn
Assist · Emiliano Buendía · 2–1
49'
John McGinn
Yellow Card
45+5'
Emiliano Buendía
Assist · Morgan Rogers · 3–1
51'
55'
Calvin Bassey
Yellow Card
65'
Emile Smith Rowe ↓ · Joshua King ↑
Substitution 2
65'
Kevin ↓ · Alex Iwobi ↑
Substitution 3
Boubacar Kamara ↓ · John McGinn ↑
Substitution 3
72'
80'
Samuel Chukwueze ↓ · Harry Wilson ↑
Substitution 4
80'
Antonee Robinson ↓ · Ryan Sessegnon ↑
Substitution 5
Victor Lindelöf ↓ · Lamare Bogarde ↑
Substitution 4
82'
Donyell Malen ↓ · Evann Guessand ↑
Substitution 5
83'
Full-time · 3 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

10 · 6 W · 4 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.43 42% Cashed +1.43 Cashed
Draw 3.30 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.41 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.85 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.87 45% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.37 71% Cashed +0.37 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.65 55% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
Home Team Total Under 0.5 3.70 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Team Total Over 0.5 1.43 65% Cashed +0.43 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.09 95% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Total · 10 markets @ 1u each 6 W · 4 L −0.16u −2% ROI