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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Germany Germany Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen — FC St. Pauli

Match Bayer Leverkusen vs FC St. Pauli February 14, 2026

Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Home · last 5 L W W L D
Kick-off
Sat 14 Feb · 14:30
4:0
Full-time
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
D L L L L Away · last 5
BayArena · Leverkusen Referee Sven Jablonski, Germany
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 49% · book 2.04
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 51% · book 1.91
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 53% · book 1.83
Total goals
4
4 · 0
xG (open play)
1.38 – 0.49
Δ +0.89
Possession
69% – 31%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Bayer Leverkusen enter this clash with a clear quality edge and home momentum, boasting a strong attacking profile against St. Pauli’s less robust defense. Their recent form shows resilience, while St. Pauli’s inconsistent results and defensive vulnerabilities suggest a tough outing. Expect Leverkusen’s pressing and set-piece threat to challenge the visitors’ compact block.

  • Home attacking edge vs away defense
  • Better recent form and home comfort
  • Likely controlled tempo with moderate goal potential

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

BAY 3-4-2-1 · PAU 3-4-2-1
Subs used · BAY
46' Tillman ↑ · Maza
59' Arthur ↑ · Lucas
59' Kofane ↑ · Schick
72' Hofmann ↑ · Grimaldo
80' Terrier ↑ · Palacios
Subs used · PAU
69' Fujita ↑ · Sands
69' Hara ↑ · Irvine
82' Ritzka ↑ · Saliakas
82' Ceesay ↑ · Kaars

📊 Statistics

BAY 40 PAU
69%
Possession (%)
31%
1.38
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.49
12
Total Shots
11
8
Shots on Target
1
4
Shots off Target
5
8
Shots Inside Box
6
8
Corner Kicks
3
2
Offsides
3
5
Fouls
8
90%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
0
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

14 · 4 – 0
J. Quansah
Assist · E. Poku · 1–0
13'
P. Schick
Assist · Lucas · 2–0
14'
Half-time · 2 – 0
M. Tillman ↓ · I. Maza ↑
Substitution 1
46'
E. Tapsoba
Assist · A. Garcia · 3–0
52'
Arthur ↓ · Lucas ↑
Substitution 2
59'
C. Kofane ↓ · P. Schick ↑
Substitution 3
59'
69'
J. Fujita ↓ · J. Sands ↑
Substitution 1
69'
T. Hara ↓ · J. Irvine ↑
Substitution 2
J. Hofmann ↓ · A. Grimaldo ↑
Substitution 4
72'
E. Poku
Assist · J. Hofmann · 4–0
78'
M. Terrier ↓ · E. Palacios ↑
Substitution 5
80'
82'
L. Ritzka ↓ · M. Saliakas ↑
Substitution 3
82'
A. Ceesay ↓ · M. Kaars ↑
Substitution 4
90+2'
Karol Mets
Yellow Card
Full-time · 4 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.04 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.91 51% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
BTTS No 1.83 53% Cashed +0.83 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.03 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.52 70% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.13 91% Cashed +0.13 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.40 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.20 30% Cashed +2.20 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.85 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.18 70% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.10 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 93% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.29 76% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Draw 4.60 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 12.80 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 8.00 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 5.50 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −3.88u −23% ROI