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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Germany Germany Bundesliga 1899 Hoffenheim — SC Freiburg

Match 1899 Hoffenheim vs SC Freiburg February 14, 2026

1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
Home · last 5 W W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 14 Feb · 14:30
3:0
Full-time
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
W L D L W Away · last 5
PreZero Arena · Sinsheim Referee Florian Exner, Germany
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 62% · book 1.78
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 57% · book 1.74
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 35% · book 2.75
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
1.80 – 0.71
Δ +1.09
Possession
61% – 39%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

1899 Hoffenheim holds a clear quality edge and home momentum after a strong recent run. Their offensive strength matches well against Freiburg's defense, suggesting they can create chances effectively. Hoffenheim's home comfort and better form hint at control, while the moderate pace odds suggest a balanced tempo.

  • Home attacking edge vs Freiburg's defense
  • Strong recent form for Hoffenheim
  • Comfortable home setting at PreZero Arena

SC Freiburg may struggle to contain Hoffenheim's pressing and creativity but can exploit set-pieces given their defensive solidity. Expect a competitive match with Hoffenheim favored to edge it.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

HOF 4-3-3 · FRE 4-2-3-1
Subs used · HOF
73' Prass ↑ · Toure
74' Moerstedt ↑ · Asllani
86' Bebou ↑ · Kramaric
90+4' Gendrey ↑ · Coufal
Subs used · FRE
46' Rosenfelder ↑ · Irie
57' Jung
58' Matanovic ↑ · Suzuki
72' Grifo ↑ · Scherhant
88' Beste ↑ · Treu

📊 Statistics

HOF 30 FRE
61%
Possession (%)
39%
1.80
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.71
25
Total Shots
13
7
Shots on Target
3
9
Shots off Target
6
14
Shots Inside Box
10
6
Corner Kicks
6
2
Offsides
2
6
Fouls
3
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
71%
3
Yellow Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

16 · 3 – 0
Bazoumana Touré
Yellow Card
9'
Grischa Prömel
Yellow Card
24'
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
M. Rosenfelder ↓ · C. Irie ↑
Substitution 1
F. Asllani
Assist · V. Coufal · 1–0
46'
O. Kabak
Assist · V. Coufal · 2–0
51'
Ozan Kabak
Yellow Card
53'
55'
Patrick Osterhage
Yellow Card
57'
A. Jung ↓ ·
Substitution 2
58'
I. Matanovic ↓ · Y. Suzuki ↑
Substitution 3
72'
V. Grifo ↓ · D. Scherhant ↑
Substitution 4
A. Prass ↓ · B. Toure ↑
Substitution 1
73'
M. Moerstedt ↓ · F. Asllani ↑
Substitution 2
74'
I. Bebou ↓ · A. Kramaric ↑
Substitution 3
86'
88'
J. Beste ↓ · P. Treu ↑
Substitution 5
V. Gendrey
Assist · A. Prass · 3–0
90'
V. Gendrey ↓ · V. Coufal ↑
Substitution 4
90+4'
Full-time · 3 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.78 62% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.74 57% Cashed +0.74 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.75 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.27 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.68 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.28 42% Cashed +1.28 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.17 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.24 85% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.50 65% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.33 62% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 94% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.23 79% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.60 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.16 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 15.50 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.72 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 3.50 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.86u −29% ROI