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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Leeds — Bournemouth

Match Leeds vs Bournemouth September 27, 2025

Leeds
Leeds
Home · last 5 D W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 27 Sep · 14:00
2:2
Full-time
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
D W W D D Away · last 5
Elland Road · Leeds Referee Michael Oliver, England
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 58% · book 1.71
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 45% · book 1.97
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 60% · book 1.58
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
1.70 – 0.76
Δ +0.94
Possession
42% – 58%
AI accuracy
6 / 10
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

This matchup features Leeds with a clear home advantage but currently struggling to convert chances and maintain consistent form. Bournemouth arrives in better recent shape and with a stronger overall profile, suggesting they can challenge effectively on the road. The game is likely to be competitive with moderate goal-scoring opportunities on both sides. The market odds reflect a balanced contest with a slight edge to the visitors. Our model favors a close encounter with a moderate probability of goals, making BTTS and Over 2.5 Goals interesting angles. Double chance options provide safer alternatives given the uncertainty around a decisive winner.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

LEE 4-3-3 · BOU 4-2-3-1
Subs used · LEE
67' Harrison ↑ · Okafor
87' Tanaka ↑ · Aaronson
90' Nmecha ↑ · Calvert-Lewin
Subs used · BOU
60' Scott ↑ · Christie
60' Brooks ↑ · Adli
60' Tavernier ↑ · Kluivert
73' Doak ↑ · Jiménez
81' Kroupi ↑ · Adams

📊 Statistics

LEE 22 BOU
42%
Possession (%)
58%
1.70
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.76
19
Total Shots
10
8
Shots on Target
5
5
Shots off Target
3
16
Shots Inside Box
5
7
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
13
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
2
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

16 · 2 – 2
12'
Álex Jiménez
Yellow Card
26'
Antoine Semenyo
0–1
Joe Rodon
Assist · Sean Longstaff · 1–1
37'
Half-time · 1 – 1
Sean Longstaff
2–1
54'
60'
Alex Scott ↓ · Ryan Christie ↑
Substitution 1
60'
David Brooks ↓ · Amine Adli ↑
Substitution 2
60'
Marcus Tavernier ↓ · Justin Kluivert ↑
Substitution 3
Jack Harrison ↓ · Noah Okafor ↑
Substitution 1
67'
Brenden Aaronson
Yellow Card
70'
73'
Ben Doak ↓ · Álex Jiménez ↑
Substitution 4
81'
Eli Junior Kroupi ↓ · Tyler Adams ↑
Substitution 5
Ao Tanaka ↓ · Brenden Aaronson ↑
Substitution 2
87'
Lukas Nmecha ↓ · Dominic Calvert-Lewin ↑
Substitution 3
90'
Ethan Ampadu
Yellow Card
90+2'
90+3'
Eli Junior Kroupi
Assist · Marcos Senesi · 2–2
90+3'
Eli Junior Kroupi
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

10 · 6 W · 4 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 1.71 58% Cashed +0.71 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.97 45% Cashed +0.97 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.58 60% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.47 68% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.09 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.86 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.89 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.60 28% Cashed +2.60 Cashed
Away Win 2.55 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Team Total Over 0.5 1.33 42% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Total · 10 markets @ 1u each 6 W · 4 L +1.66u +17% ROI