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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › RB Leipzig — Bayern München

Match RB Leipzig vs Bayern München January 17, 2026

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Sat 17 Jan · 17:30
1:5
Full-time
Bayern München
Bayern München
W W D W W Away · last 5
Referee Sascha Stegemann, Germany
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 63% · book 1.92 ✓
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 66% · book 1.63 ✓
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 34% · book 2.62 ✗
Total goals
6
1 · 5
xG (open play)
2.43 – 4.50
Δ −2.07
Possession
42% – 58%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Bayern München enter this clash with a clear quality edge and strong away momentum, having won four of their last five. Their potent attack is likely to challenge Leipzig’s defense, which has shown some vulnerability. Leipzig’s recent home form is mixed, but their pressing and set-piece threat could create chances against Bayern’s high defensive line.

  • Bayern’s superior offensive firepower versus Leipzig’s defense
  • Leipzig’s home pressing and set-piece opportunities
  • Recent form favors Bayern’s confidence and control

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

LEI 4-3-3 · BAY 4-2-3-1
LEI · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · BAY 1 Gulácsi 17 Baku 4 Orbán 23 Lukeba 22 Raum 24 Schlager 13 Seiwald 14 Baumgartner 49 Diomande 40 Rômulo ⚽ 7 Nusa 1 Neuer 20 Bischof 2 Upamecano 4 Tah ⚽ 21 Itō 45 Pavlović ⚽ 8 Goretzka 42 Karl 7 Gnabry ⚽ 14 Díaz 9 Kane ⚽
Subs used · LEI
81' Banzuzi ↑ · Seiwald ↓
81' Harder ↑ · Cardoso ↓
85' Gomis ↑ · Baumgartner ↓
90' Maksimovic ↑ · Nusa ↓
Subs used · BAY
46' Kimmich ↑ · Goretzka ↓
57' Olise ↑ · Karl ↓
81' Davies ↑ · Bischof ↓
87' Min-Jae ↑ · Ito ↓
87' Musiala ↑ · Gnabry ↓

📊 Statistics

LEI 1 – 5 BAY
42%
Possession (%)
58%
2.43
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
4.50
17
Total Shots
19
4
Shots on Target
12
8
Shots off Target
1
14
Shots Inside Box
16
5
Corner Kicks
9
0
Offsides
2
7
Fouls
6
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
1
Yellow Cards
0
7
Goalkeeper Saves
3

⏱ Match events

16 · 1 – 5
Romulo Cardoso
Assist · D. Raum · 1–0
⚽
20'
Nicolas Seiwald
Yellow Card
▮
29'
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
⇄
J. Kimmich ↓ · L. Goretzka ↑
Substitution 1
50'
⚽
S. Gnabry
Assist · D. Upamecano · 1–1
57'
⇄
M. Olise ↓ · L. Karl ↑
Substitution 2
67'
⚽
H. Kane
Assist · M. Olise · 1–2
E. Banzuzi ↓ · N. Seiwald ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
81'
C. Harder ↓ · Romulo Cardoso ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
81'
81'
⇄
A. Davies ↓ · T. Bischof ↑
Substitution 3
82'
⚽
J. Tah
Assist · M. Olise · 1–3
T. Gomis ↓ · C. Baumgartner ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
85'
85'
⚽
A. Pavlovic
Assist · M. Olise · 1–4
87'
⇄
Kim Min-Jae ↓ · H. Ito ↑
Substitution 4
87'
⇄
J. Musiala ↓ · S. Gnabry ↑
Substitution 5
88'
⚽
M. Olise
Assist · J. Musiala · 1–5
A. Maksimovic ↓ · A. Nusa ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
90'
Full-time · 1 – 5

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 1.92 — 63% Cashed +0.92 Cashed
Away Win 1.63 — 66% Cashed +0.63 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.62 — 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 2.02 — 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.44 — 75% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.36 — 81% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.20 — 87% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.26 — 66% Cashed +0.26 Cashed
BTTS No 3.00 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.11 — 93% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.02 — 98% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Draw 4.90 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 5.50 — 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 3.50 — 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 8.50 — 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 29.00 — 2% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 4.25 — 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −6.06u −36% ROI