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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Crystal Palace — Liverpool

Match Crystal Palace vs Liverpool September 27, 2025

Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Home · last 5 L D L D L
Kick-off
Sat 27 Sep · 14:00
2:1
Full-time
Liverpool
Liverpool
W L D L D Away · last 5
Selhurst Park · London Referee Chris Kavanagh, England
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 57% · book 1.90
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 65% · book 1.67
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 60% · book 1.76
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.93 – 2.17
Δ −0.24
Possession
28% – 72%
AI accuracy
4 / 7
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

This match features a strong Liverpool side on a remarkable winning streak, facing a Crystal Palace team that has shown resilience at home but with a more modest recent form. Liverpool’s attacking threat and consistent form suggest they are favorites, though Palace’s solid defensive shape at home could keep the scoreline tighter than expected. The model leans toward a Liverpool win but acknowledges a reasonable chance for a draw given Palace’s home solidity and Liverpool’s occasional defensive vulnerabilities. Goals are likely, with both teams expected to find the net, making BTTS and Over 2.5 goals attractive angles. Asian Handicap options favor Liverpool with a small handicap, reflecting their edge but also the potential for a competitive match.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

CRY 3-4-2-1 · LIV 4-2-3-1
Subs used · CRY
62' Hughes ↑ · Wharton
74' Lerma ↑ · Pino
75' Nketiah ↑ · Sarr
90' Devenny ↑ · Kamada
Subs used · LIV
46' Gakpo ↑ · Bradley
65' Jones ↑ · Allister
74' Frimpong ↑ · Konaté
74' Chiesa ↑ · Wirtz
84' Ngumoha ↑ · Isak

📊 Statistics

CRY 21 LIV
28%
Possession (%)
72%
1.93
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.17
16
Total Shots
20
7
Shots on Target
4
7
Shots off Target
11
12
Shots Inside Box
13
2
Corner Kicks
6
2
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
8
65%
Pass Accuracy (%)
89%
1
Yellow Cards
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

16 · 2 – 1
Ismaïla Sarr
1–0
9'
26'
Ibrahima Konaté
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
Cody Gakpo ↓ · Conor Bradley ↑
Substitution 1
61'
Virgil van Dijk
Yellow Card
Will Hughes ↓ · Adam Wharton ↑
Substitution 1
62'
65'
Curtis Jones ↓ · Alexis Mac Allister ↑
Substitution 2
Jefferson Lerma ↓ · Yéremy Pino ↑
Substitution 2
74'
74'
Jeremie Frimpong ↓ · Ibrahima Konaté ↑
Substitution 3
74'
Federico Chiesa ↓ · Florian Wirtz ↑
Substitution 4
Edward Nketiah ↓ · Ismaïla Sarr ↑
Substitution 3
75'
77'
Federico Chiesa
Yellow Card
Edward Nketiah
Yellow Card
78'
84'
Rio Ngumoha ↓ · Alexander Isak ↑
Substitution 5
87'
Federico Chiesa
1–1
Justin Devenny ↓ · Daichi Kamada ↑
Substitution 4
90'
Edward Nketiah
Assist · Marc Guéhi · 2–1
90+7'
Full-time · 2 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 4 W · 3 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.90 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.67 65% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.76 60% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.28 80% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 3.00 35% Cashed +2.00 Cashed
Home Win 4.15 20% Cashed +3.15 Cashed
Draw 4.10 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each 4 W · 3 L +3.58u +51% ROI