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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Germany Germany Bundesliga 1. FC Köln — Bayern München

Match 1. FC Köln vs Bayern München January 14, 2026

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
Home · last 5 D L D L L
Kick-off
Wed 14 Jan · 19:30
1:3
Full-time
Bayern München
Bayern München
W W D W W Away · last 5
Referee Patrick Ittrich, Germany
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 64% · book 1.78
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 33% · book 2.50
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 36% · book 2.20
Total goals
4
1 · 3
xG (open play)
0.65 – 1.31
Δ −0.66
Possession
28% – 72%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 1.78 — +14.6% better than the market.

Bayern München enter this clash with a clear quality edge and strong recent form, contrasting with Köln's struggles at home. Bayern's potent attack is likely to exploit Köln's defensive vulnerabilities, while the home side's offense faces a tough challenge against Bayern's disciplined backline. Expect a high-tempo game with plenty of goal-scoring opportunities given the favorable over 2.5 goals odds.

  • Bayern's superior quality and momentum
  • Köln's defensive frailties at home
  • Likely open game with attacking intent

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5
Over 3.5 @ 1.78 ✓ Cashed
AI 64% Implied 56% +0.78u
+78%
ROI on stake

Lineups

KOL 3-4-3 · BAY 4-2-3-1
Subs used · KOL
67' Schenten ↑ · Maina
78' Johannesson ↑ · Lund
78' Bulter ↑ · Ache
78' Waldschmidt ↑ · El Mala
85' Niang ↑ · Thielmann
Subs used · BAY
67' Upamecano ↑ · Tah
67' Karl ↑ · Gnabry
82' Bischof ↑ · Olise
88' Guerreiro ↑ · Ito

📊 Statistics

KOL 13 BAY
28%
Possession (%)
72%
0.65
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.31
7
Total Shots
19
3
Shots on Target
8
3
Shots off Target
8
4
Shots Inside Box
14
4
Corner Kicks
6
3
Offsides
5
3
Fouls
4
70%
Pass Accuracy (%)
89%
5
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

13 · 1 – 3
L. Maina
1–0
41'
45'
S. Gnabry
Assist · M. Olise · 1–1
Half-time · 1 – 1
F. Schenten ↓ · L. Maina ↑
Substitution 1
67'
67'
D. Upamecano ↓ · J. Tah ↑
Substitution 1
67'
L. Karl ↓ · S. Gnabry ↑
Substitution 2
71'
Kim Min-Jae
Assist · H. Ito · 1–2
I. Johannesson ↓ · K. Lund ↑
Substitution 2
78'
M. Bulter ↓ · R. Ache ↑
Substitution 3
78'
L. Waldschmidt ↓ · S. El Mala ↑
Substitution 4
78'
82'
T. Bischof ↓ · M. Olise ↑
Substitution 3
84'
L. Karl
Assist · L. Diaz · 1–3
Y. Niang ↓ · J. Thielmann ↑
Substitution 5
85'
88'
R. Guerreiro ↓ · H. Ito ↑
Substitution 4
Full-time · 1 – 3

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 1.78 64% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
BTTS No 2.50 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 2.20 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.56 67% Cashed +0.56 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.29 81% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Draw 6.60 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.09 93% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Away Win 1.32 77% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.11 77% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.09 92% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.02 98% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 3.86 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 10.00 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 3.80 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 9.00 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 34.00 2% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 6.60 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −6.74u −40% ROI
Best bet of the night · Over 3.5
KOL – BAY @ 1.78
+14.6%
Edge
Forecast →