Ukraine look better equipped for this matchup than the market suggests. Their recent level is steadier, they carry more threat going forward, and they should feel they can control long spells against a Sweden side that has been struggling badly for rhythm and confidence. The visitors still have enough structure to stay competitive for parts of the game, but their recent attacking output has been too flat to trust fully.
The most likely script is a balanced match with Ukraine holding the more dangerous attacking edge and Sweden needing to rely on discipline and isolated moments. That makes the home side and home-protection angles attractive, while the overall goal shape leans slightly toward a controlled medium-scoring game rather than a wide-open shootout.