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Football Germany Germany Bundesliga Bayern München — VfL Wolfsburg

Match Bayern München vs VfL Wolfsburg January 11, 2026

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Bayern München
Bayern München
Home · last 5 W W D W W
Kick-off
Sun 11 Jan · 16:30
8:1
Full-time
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
D L W D L Away · last 5
Referee Tobias Reichel, Germany
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 61% · book 1.85
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 34% · book 2.61
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 39% · book 2.05
Total goals
9
8 · 1
xG (open play)
3.65 – 1.36
Δ +2.29
Possession
68% – 32%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.85 — +13.7% better than the market.

Bayern München enter this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a potent attack that outmatches Wolfsburg's defensive setup. Their recent form shows consistent wins, while Wolfsburg struggles to maintain stability away. The home side's pressing edge and tactical discipline should exploit Wolfsburg's vulnerabilities, likely resulting in a high-scoring game given the expected open tempo.

  • Home attacking threat vs away defensive frailties
  • Superior recent form and home confidence
  • Likely open game favoring goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes @ 1.85 ✓ Cashed
AI 61% Implied 54% +0.85u
+85%
ROI on stake

Lineups

BAY 4-2-3-1 · WOL 4-2-3-1
Subs used · BAY
57' Guerreiro ↑ · Karl
58' Goretzka ↑ · Pavlovic
77' Ito ↑ · Upamecano
77' Mike ↑ · Kane
83' Chavez ↑ · Olise
Subs used · WOL
64' Daghim ↑ · Wimmer
64' Gerhardt ↑ · Svanberg
77' Paredes ↑ · Majer
86' Vavro ↑ · Pejcinovic
86' Hensel ↑ · Eriksen

📊 Statistics

BAY 81 WOL
68%
Possession (%)
32%
3.65
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.36
16
Total Shots
8
10
Shots on Target
3
5
Shots off Target
3
13
Shots Inside Box
3
6
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
0
7
Fouls
6
92%
Pass Accuracy (%)
78%
0
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

20 · 8 – 1
K. Fischer
Own goal · 1–0
5'
13'
D. Pejcinovic
Assist · L. Majer · 1–1
L. Diaz
Assist · M. Olise · 2–1
30'
45+1'
Mattias Svanberg
Yellow Card
Half-time · 2 – 1
M. Olise
Assist · K. Laimer · 3–1
50'
M. Jenz
Own goal · 4–1
53'
R. Guerreiro ↓ · L. Karl ↑
Substitution 1
57'
L. Goretzka ↓ · A. Pavlovic ↑
Substitution 2
58'
64'
A. Daghim ↓ · P. Wimmer ↑
Substitution 1
64'
Y. Gerhardt ↓ · M. Svanberg ↑
Substitution 2
R. Guerreiro
Assist · H. Kane · 5–1
68'
H. Kane
Assist · L. Diaz · 6–1
69'
M. Olise
Assist · L. Diaz · 7–1
76'
H. Ito ↓ · D. Upamecano ↑
Substitution 3
77'
W. Mike ↓ · H. Kane ↑
Substitution 4
77'
77'
K. Paredes ↓ · L. Majer ↑
Substitution 3
F. Chavez ↓ · M. Olise ↑
Substitution 5
83'
86'
D. Vavro ↓ · D. Pejcinovic ↑
Substitution 4
86'
P. Hensel ↓ · C. Eriksen ↑
Substitution 5
L. Goretzka
Assist · J. Tah · 8–1
88'
Full-time · 8 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 1.85 61% Cashed +0.85 Cashed
Under 3.5 2.61 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.05 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 11.93 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 7.67 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 1.53 66% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.03 97% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Home Win 1.14 85% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.03 85% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.21 82% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.06 93% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Under 2.5 4.70 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 12.00 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 22.00 3% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 15.00 3% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each 7 W · 8 L −6.15u −41% ROI
Best bet of the night · BTTS Yes
BAY – WOL @ 1.85
+13.7%
Edge
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