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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Germany Germany Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 — FC St. Pauli

Match FSV Mainz 05 vs FC St. Pauli December 21, 2025

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
Home · last 5 D L W L W
Kick-off
Sun 21 Dec · 14:30
0:0
Full-time
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
D L L L L Away · last 5
Mewa Arena · Mainz Referee Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 62% · book 1.78
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 57% · book 1.91
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 57% · book 1.87
Total goals
0
0 · 0
xG (open play)
1.03 – 0.27
Δ +0.76
Possession
53% – 47%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.78 — +9.5% better than the market.

FSV Mainz 05 hosts FC St. Pauli in a Bundesliga clash where the visitors hold a slight quality edge and better recent form. Mainz’s defensive solidity faces a test against St. Pauli’s opportunistic attack, though both sides show signs of struggle in scoring. The home side’s compact block and set-piece threat might keep things tight, while St. Pauli’s pressing edge could create chances on the break. Expect a cautious tempo with limited goals under 2.5 likely.

  • St. Pauli’s form and defensive resilience
  • Mainz’s home defensive organization
  • Moderate pace suggested by odds and recent trends

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.78 ✓ Cashed
AI 62% Implied 56% +0.78u
+78%
ROI on stake

Lineups

MAI 5-3-2 · PAU 3-4-1-2
Subs used · MAI
78' Sieb ↑ · Hollerbach
79' Veratschnig ↑ · Widmer
90+1' Weiper ↑ · Amiri
Subs used · PAU
58' Jones ↑ · Hountondji
74' Ritzka ↑ · Oppie
90' Sinani ↑ · Pereira Lage

📊 Statistics

MAI 00 PAU
53%
Possession (%)
47%
1.03
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.27
13
Total Shots
5
1
Shots on Target
1
5
Shots off Target
1
10
Shots Inside Box
2
9
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
0
5
Fouls
9
77%
Pass Accuracy (%)
69%
1
Yellow Cards
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

8 · 0 – 0
Kaishu Sano
Yellow Card
32'
Half-time · 0 – 0
58'
R. Jones ↓ · A. Hountondji ↑
Substitution 1
61'
Mathias Pereira Lage
Yellow Card
74'
L. Ritzka ↓ · L. Oppie ↑
Substitution 2
A. Sieb ↓ · B. Hollerbach ↑
Substitution 1
78'
N. Veratschnig ↓ · S. Widmer ↑
Substitution 2
79'
90'
D. Sinani ↓ · M. Pereira Lage ↑
Substitution 3
N. Weiper ↓ · N. Amiri ↑
Substitution 3
90+1'
Full-time · 0 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.78 62% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.91 57% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
BTTS No 1.87 57% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
Home Win 2.01 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.98 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.20 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.20 36% Cashed +2.20 Cashed
Away Win 4.26 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.30 81% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
AH Away 0 3.00 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.40 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.27 69% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Under 0.5 9.50 12% Cashed +8.50 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.09 88% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.43 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.53 26% Cashed +2.53 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.10 19% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +7.36u +43% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 2.5
MAI – PAU @ 1.78
+9.5%
Edge
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