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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Germany Germany Bundesliga SC Freiburg — Borussia Dortmund

Match SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund December 14, 2025

SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
Home · last 5 W L D L W
Kick-off
Sun 14 Dec · 14:30
1:1
Full-time
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
L W L W W Away · last 5
Europa-Park Stadion · Freiburg im Breisgau Referee Felix Zwayer, Germany
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 53% · book 2.25
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 56% · book 1.89
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 58% · book 1.68
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.51 – 0.93
Δ +0.58
Possession
57% – 43%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Borussia Dortmund enter this clash with a clear quality edge, boasting a stronger overall profile and a potent attack that challenges Freiburg's defense. Despite Freiburg's better recent form and home momentum, Dortmund's pressing and defensive solidity could limit scoring opportunities. Expect a tactical battle where Dortmund's offensive threat meets Freiburg's resilience.

  • Dortmund's superior quality and attacking edge
  • Freiburg's recent home form and compact block
  • Moderate pace suggested by balanced goal odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

FRE 4-2-3-1 · DOR 3-4-2-1
Subs used · FRE
76' Grifo ↑ · Jung
76' Matanović ↑ · Günter
Subs used · DOR
56' Groß ↑ · Silva
78' Svensson ↑ · Chukwuemeka
78' Beier ↑ · Guirassy
90' Süle ↑ · Can
90' Adeyemi ↑ · Couto

📊 Statistics

FRE 11 DOR
57%
Possession (%)
43%
1.51
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.93
21
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
4
9
Shots off Target
5
13
Shots Inside Box
7
6
Corner Kicks
0
5
Offsides
0
11
Fouls
9
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
78%
3
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

15 · 1 – 1
Johan Manzambi
Yellow Card
11'
11'
Yan Couto
Yellow Card
31'
Ramy Bensebaini
0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
53'
Jobe Bellingham
Red Card
56'
Pascal Groß ↓ · Fábio Silva ↑
Substitution 1
Maximilian Eggestein
Yellow Card
72'
Lucas Höler
Assist · Christian Günter · 1–1
75'
Vincenzo Grifo ↓ · Anthony Jung ↑
Substitution 1
76'
Igor Matanović ↓ · Christian Günter ↑
Substitution 2
76'
78'
Daniel Svensson ↓ · Carney Chukwuemeka ↑
Substitution 2
78'
Maximilian Beier ↓ · Serhou Guirassy ↑
Substitution 3
83'
Julian Ryerson
Yellow Card
90'
Niklas Süle ↓ · Emre Can ↑
Substitution 4
90'
Karim Adeyemi ↓ · Yan Couto ↑
Substitution 5
Lukas Kübler
Yellow Card
90+6'
Full-time · 1 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.25 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.89 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.68 58% Cashed +0.68 Cashed
BTTS No 2.28 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.10 44% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.61 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.73 47% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.44 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.37 78% Cashed +0.37 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.25 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.42 67% Cashed +0.42 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.28 79% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.06 94% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Draw 3.65 26% Cashed +2.65 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.20 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 13.30 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.44 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.71u −16% ROI