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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Hamburger SV — Werder Bremen

Match Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen December 7, 2025

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
Home · last 5 L L W W D
Kick-off
Sun 07 Dec · 14:30
3:2
Full-time
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
W D L L L Away · last 5
Volksparkstadion · Hamburg Referee Sascha Stegemann, Germany
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 66% · book 1.67 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 51% · book 2.35 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 47% · book 2.55 ✗
Total goals
5
3 · 2
xG (open play)
1.37 – 0.72
Δ +0.65
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Werder Bremen enter this clash with a clear quality edge, boasting stronger overall metrics and a better recent form trend. Despite Hamburger SV's home momentum, Bremen's offensive threat against a leaky home defense suggests they can exploit gaps. The match hints at a moderate tempo, with both sides likely cautious but Bremen's pressing edge could tilt control.

  • Werder's superior quality and form advantage
  • Hamburg's defensive vulnerabilities at home
  • Moderate pace favoring tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

HAM 3-4-3 · WER 4-2-3-1
HAM · 3-4-3 4-2-3-1 · WER 1 Fernandes 24 Capaldo 44 Vušković ⚽ 25 Torunarigha 18 Jatta 6 Lokonga ⚽ 21 Remberg 22 Soumahoro 20 Vieira 14 Philippe 7 Dompé 30 Backhaus 3 Sugawara 5 Pieper 31 Coulibaly 32 Friedl 14 Lynen 6 Stage ⚽ 18 Puertas 20 Schmid 17 Grüll 9 Topp
Subs used · HAM
59' Muheim ↑ · Soumahoro ↓
59' Konigsdorffer ↑ · Philippe ↓
83' Gocholeishvili ↑ · Jatta ↓
83' Poulsen ↑ · Vieira ↓
90+2' Balde ↑ · Dompe ↓
Subs used · WER
69' Njinmah ↑ · Topp ↓
79' Boniface ↑ · Puertas ↓
88' Mbangula ↑ · Grull ↓

📊 Statistics

HAM 3 – 2 WER
54%
Possession (%)
46%
1.37
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.72
12
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
3
3
Shots off Target
3
8
Shots Inside Box
3
5
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
2
8
Fouls
13
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
1
Yellow Cards
6
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3

⏱ Match events

21 · 3 – 2
32'
▮
Jens Stage
Yellow Card
45'
⚽
J. Stage
Assist · R. Schmid · 0–1
Half-time · 0 – 1
Luka Vušković
Yellow Card
▮
56'
M. Muheim ↓ · A. Soumahoro ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
59'
R. Konigsdorffer ↓ · R. Philippe ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
59'
62'
▮
Keke Topp
Yellow Card
A. S. Lokonga
1–1
⚽
63'
69'
▮
Marco Grüll
Yellow Card
69'
⇄
J. Njinmah ↓ · K. Topp ↑
Substitution 1
74'
▮
Marco Friedl
Yellow Card
L. Vuskovic
Assist · F. Vieira · 2–1
⚽
75'
78'
⚽
J. Njinmah
Assist · R. Schmid · 2–2
79'
⇄
V. Boniface ↓ · C. Puertas ↑
Substitution 2
G. Gocholeishvili ↓ · B. Jatta ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
83'
Y. Poulsen ↓ · F. Vieira ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
83'
Y. Poulsen
Assist · M. Muheim · 3–2
⚽
84'
88'
⇄
S. Mbangula ↓ · M. Grull ↑
Substitution 3
F. Balde ↓ · J. Dompe ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
90+2'
90+4'
▮
Karim Coulibaly
Yellow Card
90+5'
▮
Romano Schmid
Yellow Card
Nicolai Remberg
Yellow Card
▮
90+7'
Full-time · 3 – 2

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.67 — 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.35 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.55 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.27 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.74 — 49% Cashed +0.74 Cashed
Home Win 2.37 — 34% Cashed +1.37 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.75 — 28% Cashed +1.75 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.74 — 34% Cashed +0.74 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.52 — 72% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.10 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.10 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.43 — 59% Cashed +0.43 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.59 — 53% Cashed +0.59 Cashed
Under 0.5 15.00 — 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 — 92% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Draw 3.70 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.23 — 73% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.10u −18% ROI