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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Bayern München — FC St. Pauli

Match Bayern München vs FC St. Pauli November 29, 2025

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga
Bayern München
Bayern München
Home · last 5 W W D W W
Kick-off
Sat 29 Nov · 14:30
3:1
Full-time
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
D L L L L Away · last 5
Referee Felix Zwayer, Germany
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 48% · book 2.15 ✓
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 46% · book 2.25 ✗
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 54% · book 1.77 ✓
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
2.68 – 0.60
Δ +2.08
Possession
81% – 19%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Bayern München enter this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a solid recent form and a clear quality edge over FC St. Pauli. Their potent attack faces a defense that has struggled, suggesting a high chance of goals. Bayern's pressing and tactical discipline should exploit St. Pauli's fragile away form, while the match pace hints at an open game with multiple scoring opportunities.

  • Home side's offensive firepower vs away defensive frailties
  • St. Pauli's poor recent results and low confidence
  • Bayern's home advantage and tactical control

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

BAY 4-2-3-1 · PAU 5-4-1
BAY · 4-2-3-1 5-4-1 · PAU 1 Neuer 27 Laimer 3 Kim 4 Tah 20 Bischof 6 Kimmich 45 Pavlović 42 Karl 22 Guerreiro ⚽ 14 Díaz ⚽ 9 Kane 22 Vasilj 11 Pyrka 5 Wahl 8 Smith 3 Mets 21 Ritzka 16 Fujita 6 Sands 7 Irvine 28 Lage 27 Hountondji ⚽
Subs used · BAY
46' Olise ↑ · Laimer ↓
65' Gnabry ↑ · Karl ↓
65' Stanisic ↑ · Guerreiro ↓
77' Goretzka ↑ · Min-Jae ↓
83' Jackson ↑ · Pavlovic ↓
Subs used · PAU
18' Sinani ↑ · Hountondji ↓
68' Oppie ↑ · Ritzka ↓
68' Ceesay ↑ · Irvine ↓
87' Metcalfe ↑ · Pereira Lage ↓

📊 Statistics

BAY 3 – 1 PAU
81%
Possession (%)
19%
2.68
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.60
19
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Target
1
11
Shots off Target
5
14
Shots Inside Box
5
10
Corner Kicks
2
3
Offsides
2
5
Fouls
8
93%
Pass Accuracy (%)
72%
1
Yellow Cards
1

⏱ Match events

15 · 3 – 1
6'
⚽
A. Hountondji
Assist · M. Pereira Lage · 0–1
18'
⇄
D. Sinani ↓ · A. Hountondji ↑
Substitution 1
39'
▮
Karol Mets
Yellow Card
R. Guerreiro
Assist · L. Diaz · 1–1
⚽
44'
Half-time · 1 – 1
M. Olise ↓ · K. Laimer ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
S. Gnabry ↓ · L. Karl ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
65'
J. Stanisic ↓ · R. Guerreiro ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
65'
68'
⇄
L. Oppie ↓ · L. Ritzka ↑
Substitution 2
68'
⇄
A. Ceesay ↓ · J. Irvine ↑
Substitution 3
L. Goretzka ↓ · Kim Min-Jae ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
77'
Jonathan Tah
Yellow Card
▮
83'
N. Jackson ↓ · A. Pavlovic ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
83'
87'
⇄
C. Metcalfe ↓ · M. Pereira Lage ↑
Substitution 4
L. Diaz
Assist · J. Kimmich · 2–1
⚽
90'
N. Jackson
3–1
⚽
90'
Full-time · 3 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 2.15 — 48% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
Under 3.5 2.25 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 1.77 — 54% Cashed +0.77 Cashed
BTTS No 1.75 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 11.00 — 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 8.00 — 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.02 — 98% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Home Win 1.13 — 86% Cashed +0.13 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.02 — 86% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Under 1.5 10.00 — 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 4.00 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.02 — 97% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.09 — 90% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.28 — 74% Cashed +0.28 Cashed
Under 0.5 29.00 — 3% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 30.06 — 2% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 21.00 — 2% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −6.52u −38% ROI