Match FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Mönchengladbach November 1, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.99 — +10.4% better than the market.

FC St. Pauli holds a clear quality edge at home, backed by a stronger defensive setup that could frustrate Borussia Mönchengladbach. Despite recent struggles, St. Pauli's home momentum and slightly better recent form suggest they can control the pace. Gladbach's attack faces a tough test against a compact home defense, hinting at a cautious, low-scoring affair.

Home defensive solidity vs away attack
St. Pauli's home edge in form and strength
Likely moderate tempo with few clear chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5

Under 2.5 @ 1.99 ✗ Lost

AI 55% Implied 50% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

PAU 3-4-2-1 · MOE 3-4-2-1

PAU · 3-4-2-1 3-4-2-1 · MOE

10 Sinani

Subs used · PAU

46'

Hountondji ↑ ·

Pereira Lage ↓

46'

Kaars ↑ ·

Afolayan ↓

46'

Ceesay ↑ ·

Sinani ↓

55'

Metcalfe ↑ ·

Sands ↓

84'

Irvine ↑ ·

Saliakas ↓

Subs used · MOE

57'

Machino ↑ ·

Honorat ↓

78'

Reyna ↑ ·

Neuhaus ↓

78'

Fraulo ↑ ·

Scally ↓

85'

Stoger ↑ ·

Reitz ↓

85'

Urbich ↑ ·

Tabakovic ↓

📊 Statistics

PAU 0 – 4 MOE

56%

Possession (%)

44%

0.83

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.32

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

18 · 0 – 4

15'

⚽

H. Tabakovic

Assist · F. Neuhaus · 0–1

James Sands

Yellow Card

▮

18'

40'

⚽

H. Tabakovic

Assist · F. Honorat · 0–2

Half-time · 0 – 2

A. Hountondji ↓ · M. Pereira Lage ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

M. Kaars ↓ · O. Afolayan ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

46'

A. Ceesay ↓ · D. Sinani ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

46'

C. Metcalfe ↓ · J. Sands ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

55'

57'

⇄

S. Machino ↓ · F. Honorat ↑

Substitution 1

Manolis Saliakas

Yellow Card

▮

60'

Abdoulie Ceesay

Yellow Card

▮

63'

75'

⚽

S. Machino

Assist · H. Tabakovic · 0–3

78'

⇄

G. Reyna ↓ · F. Neuhaus ↑

Substitution 2

78'

⇄

O. Fraulo ↓ · J. Scally ↑

Substitution 3

80'

⚽

O. Fraulo

Assist · S. Machino · 0–4

J. Irvine ↓ · M. Saliakas ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

84'

85'

⇄

K. Stoger ↓ · R. Reitz ↑

Substitution 4

85'

⇄

J. Urbich ↓ · H. Tabakovic ↑

Substitution 5

Andreas Hountondji

Yellow Card

▮

90+4'

Full-time · 0 – 4

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	1.99	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.23	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.18	—	50%	Cashed	+1.18	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.96	—	45%	Cashed	+0.96	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.74	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.60	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.74	—	47%	Cashed	+0.74	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.48	—	21%	Cashed	+1.48	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.36	—	79%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.83	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.38	—	76%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	12.30	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	91%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	3.60	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.30	—	70%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.30	—	24%	Cashed	+2.30	Cashed
Away Win	3.47	—	21%	Cashed	+2.47	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+0.49u	+3% ROI