Match Larisa vs Asteras Tripolis March 14, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 1.75 — +12.7% better than the market.

Larisa and Asteras Tripolis face off in a tight Super League 1 clash where quality levels are nearly matched, but Larisa holds a slight home edge thanks to a more robust defensive setup. Both sides show signs of struggle in recent form, yet Larisa’s recent home resilience and a compact defensive block could stifle Asteras’ moderate attacking threat.

Home defensive solidity vs away offensive modesty
Close quality gap suggests a balanced tactical battle
Market hints at a cautious pace with under 2.5 goals likely

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 1.75 ✗ Lost

AI 64% Implied 57% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

AEL 3-4-3 · AST 3-4-2-1

AEL · 3-4-3 3-4-2-1 · AST

25 Sagal

13 Triantafyllopoulos

📊 Statistics

AEL 1 – 1 AST

66%

Possession (%)

34%

1.44

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.92

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

63%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.75	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	2.67	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.60	—	64%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Home Win	2.60	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.26	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.09	—	36%	Cashed	+1.09	Cashed
Over 2.5	2.52	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.65	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.55	—	72%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Under 0.5	7.00	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.28	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.20	—	88%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.38	—	64%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Draw	3.05	—	29%	Cashed	+2.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.52	—	54%	Cashed	+0.52	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.12	—	78%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.83	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.49u	−21% ROI