P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Germany Germany Bundesliga Hamburger SV — FSV Mainz 05

Match Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 October 5, 2025

Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
Home · last 5 L L W W D
Kick-off
Sun 05 Oct · 15:30
4:0
Full-time
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
D L W L W Away · last 5
Volksparkstadion · Hamburg Referee Robert Hartmann, Germany
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 42% · book 2.51
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 42% · book 2.50
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 69% · book 1.48
Total goals
4
4 · 0
xG (open play)
1.95 – 0.67
Δ +1.28
Possession
35% – 65%
AI accuracy
2 / 6
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

HSV vs Mainz — betting preview

Mainz arrive with the sturdier overall profile, while HSV’s recent output has been thin despite home support. The game projects as controlled rather than chaotic: Mainz’s structure should limit high-quality looks for the hosts, and the visitors’ edge tilts the 1X2 toward the away side.

Pricing leaves draw-protected away angles and modest fades of a home goal as the cleaner ideas. Totals lean slightly under unless an early strike flips the game state.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

HAM 3-4-3 · MAI 3-4-2-1
Subs used · HAM
62' Meffert ↑ · S. Lokonga
67' Glatzel ↑ · Konigsdorffer
68' Balde ↑ · Dompe
82' Mikelbrencis ↑ · Gocholeishvili
82' Rossing-Lelesiit ↑ · Philippe
Subs used · MAI
45+5' Weiper ↑ · Mwene
61' Sieb ↑ · Hollerbach
62' Bell ↑ · Kohr
71' Veratschnig ↑ · Jae-Sung
82' Maloney ↑ · Amiri

📊 Statistics

HAM 40 MAI
35%
Possession (%)
65%
1.95
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.67
15
Total Shots
11
9
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
4
11
Shots Inside Box
7
1
Corner Kicks
4
3
Offsides
3
14
Fouls
13
68%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
2
Yellow Cards
3
4
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

19 · 4 – 0
A. S. Lokonga
Assist · G. Gocholeishvili · 1–0
6'
R. Philippe
Assist · R. Konigsdorffer · 2–0
10'
Daniel Elfadli
Yellow Card
17'
42'
Jae-sung Lee
Yellow Card
45+3'
Dominik Kohr
Yellow Card
45+5'
N. Weiper ↓ · P. Mwene ↑
Substitution 1
Half-time · 2 – 0
J. Dompe
Assist · N. Capaldo · 3–0
52'
61'
A. Sieb ↓ · B. Hollerbach ↑
Substitution 2
R. Philippe
Assist · N. Remberg · 4–0
61'
J. Meffert ↓ · A. S. Lokonga ↑
Substitution 1
62'
62'
S. Bell ↓ · D. Kohr ↑
Substitution 3
Nicolai Remberg
Yellow Card
65'
65'
Nadiem Amiri
Yellow Card
R. Glatzel ↓ · R. Konigsdorffer ↑
Substitution 2
67'
F. Balde ↓ · J. Dompe ↑
Substitution 3
68'
71'
N. Veratschnig ↓ · Lee Jae-Sung ↑
Substitution 4
W. Mikelbrencis ↓ · G. Gocholeishvili ↑
Substitution 4
82'
A. Rossing-Lelesiit ↓ · R. Philippe ↑
Substitution 5
82'
82'
L. Maloney ↓ · N. Amiri ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 4 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

6 · 2 W · 4 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.51 42% Cashed +1.51 Cashed
Away Win 2.50 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.48 69% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.24 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.74 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.87 31% Cashed +1.87 Cashed
Total · 6 markets @ 1u each 2 W · 4 L −0.62u −10% ROI