Bayern München enter this match in dominant form with a strong home presence and a potent attack that has been consistently scoring. Werder Bremen have struggled on the road and show defensive vulnerabilities that Bayern are likely to exploit. The home advantage is significant here, and the attacking profile of Bayern suggests a high-scoring game is probable. Werder Bremen’s recent form and defensive shape point to a tough outing, with limited chances to threaten Bayern’s goal. The model favors a clear home win with goals likely at both ends, though Bayern’s superiority suggests a comfortable margin. The best value lies in backing Bayern to win and the match to go over 2.5 goals, with additional confidence in both teams scoring given Bremen’s attacking efforts despite defensive issues.
Post-match · 90 sec read
⛀ Lineups
BAY 4-2-3-1 · WER 4-2-3-1
BAY · 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1 · WER
1
Neuer
23
Boey
2
Upamecano
4
Tah ⚽
27
Laimer ⚽
8
Goretzka
20
Bischof
17
Olise
7
Gnabry
14
Díaz
9
Kane ⚽
13
Hein
3
Sugawara
32
Friedl
31
Coulibaly
27
Agu
6
Stage
14
Lynen
20
Schmid
18
Puertas
7
Mbangula
11
Njinmah
1
Neuer
23
Boey
2
Upamecano
4
Tah ⚽
27
Laimer ⚽
8
Goretzka
20
Bischof
17
Olise
7
Gnabry
14
Díaz
9
Kane ⚽
13
Hein
3
Sugawara
32
Friedl
31
Coulibaly
27
Agu
6
Stage
14
Lynen
20
Schmid
18
Puertas
7
Mbangula
11
Njinmah
📊 Statistics
BAY 4 – 0 WER59%
Possession (%)
41%
3.03
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
0.36
24
Total Shots
8
12
Shots on Target
2
6
Shots off Target
2
16
Shots Inside Box
5
6
Corner Kicks
6
0
Offsides
2
9
Fouls
4
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
79%
2
Yellow Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
7
⏱ Match events
16 · 4 – 0Serge Gnabry
Yellow Card
16'
Jonathan Tah
Assist · Michael Olise · 1–0
22'
Harry Kane (P)
Penalty · 2–0
45'
Half-time · 2 – 0
Raphaël Guerreiro ↓ · Serge Gnabry ↑
Substitution 1
61'
Joshua Kimmich ↓ · Leon Goretzka ↑
Substitution 2
61'
61'
⇄
Victor Okoh Boniface ↓ · Cameron Puertas ↑
Substitution 1
Harry Kane
Assist · Luis Díaz · 3–0
65'
Joshua Kimmich
Yellow Card
65'
73'
⇄
Marco Grüll ↓ · Justin Njinmah ↑
Substitution 2
Nicolas Jackson ↓ · Harry Kane ↑
Substitution 3
78'
Lennart Karl ↓ · Michael Olise ↑
Substitution 4
78'
80'
⇄
Isaac Schmidt ↓ · Felix Agu ↑
Substitution 3
80'
⇄
Leonardo Bittencourt ↓ · Jens Stage ↑
Substitution 4
80'
⇄
Patrice Čović ↓ · Samuel Mbangula ↑
Substitution 5
Wisdom Mike ↓ · Luis Díaz ↑
Substitution 5
84'
Konrad Laimer
Assist · Tom Bischof · 4–0
87'
Full-time · 4 – 0
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
8 · 4 W · 4 L| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Win | 1.11 | — | 88% | Cashed | +0.11 | Cashed |
| Over 2.5 | 1.19 | — | 85% | Cashed | +0.19 | Cashed |
| BTTS Yes | 1.90 | — | 65% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Draw | 13.45 | — | 6% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Away Win | 29.00 | — | 6% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.02 | — | 94% | Cashed | +0.02 | Cashed |
| Home Team Total Over 0.5 | 1.01 | — | 98% | Cashed | +0.01 | Cashed |
| Away Team Total Over 0.5 | 1.84 | — | 60% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 8 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 4 W · 4 L | −3.67u | −46% ROI |