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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › England › Premier League › Manchester City — Aston Villa

Match Manchester City vs Aston Villa May 24, 2026

England   /   Premier League
Manchester City
Manchester City
Home · last 5 D W W D L
Kick-off
Sun 24 May · 15:00
1:2
Full-time
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
L L D W W Away · last 5
Etihad Stadium · Manchester Referee A. Madley
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 54% · book 2.12 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 41% · book 2.45 ✗
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 46% · book 1.84 ✗
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
1.25 – 1.58
Δ −0.33
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Manchester City enter this clash with a clear quality edge and strong home momentum, boasting a solid recent run and a potent attack that challenges Aston Villa's defense. The Etihad's familiar surroundings amplify their pressing edge, while Villa's inconsistent form and defensive vulnerabilities suggest a tough outing.

  • City's offensive firepower likely to exploit Villa's defensive gaps
  • Home crowd support fueling City's control and tempo
  • Villa's recent form shows signs of struggle away from home

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

MCI 4-2-2-2 · AST 4-2-3-1
MCI · 4-2-2-2 4-2-3-1 · AST 1 Trafford 82 Lewis 5 Stones 3 Dias 6 Aké 4 Reijnders 14 González 26 Savinho 20 Silva 42 Semenyo ⚽ 47 Foden 40 Bizot 16 García 3 Lindelöf 5 Mings 22 Maatsen 26 Bogarde 6 Barkley 31 Bailey 21 Luiz 10 Buendía 11 Watkins ⚽
Subs used · MCI
58' Cherki ↑ · Semenyo ↓
59' Kovacic ↑ · Silva ↓
77' Doku ↑ · Reijnders ↓
77' Gvardiol ↑ · Stones ↓
77' Ait-Nouri ↑ · Ake ↓
Subs used · AST
46' Cash ↑ · Garcia ↓
74' Tielemans ↑ · Luiz ↓
74' Onana ↑ · Bogarde ↓
74' Torres ↑ · Lindelof ↓
86' McGinn ↑ · Barkley ↓

📊 Statistics

MCI 1 – 2 AST
52%
Possession (%)
48%
1.25
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.58
16
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Target
5
7
Shots off Target
5
10
Shots Inside Box
9
9
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
1
8
Fouls
4
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
90%
1
Yellow Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

⏱ Match events

14 · 1 – 2
A. Semenyo
1–0
⚽
23'
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
⇄
M. Cash ↓ · A. Garcia ↑
Substitution 1
47'
⚽
O. Watkins
1–1
R. Cherki ↓ · A. Semenyo ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
58'
M. Kovacic ↓ · B. Silva ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
59'
61'
⚽
O. Watkins
Assist · R. Barkley · 1–2
74'
⇄
Y. Tielemans ↓ · Douglas Luiz ↑
Substitution 2
74'
⇄
A. Onana ↓ · L. Bogarde ↑
Substitution 3
74'
⇄
P. Torres ↓ · V. Lindelof ↑
Substitution 4
J. Doku ↓ · T. Reijnders ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
77'
J. Gvardiol ↓ · J. Stones ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
77'
R. Ait-Nouri ↓ · N. Ake ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
77'
R. Lewis
Yellow Card
▮
82'
86'
⇄
J. McGinn ↓ · R. Barkley ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 1 – 2

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 2.12 1.91 54% Cashed +1.12 Cashed
BTTS No 2.45 2.20 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 1.84 1.83 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 3.50 3.30 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 8.00 7.52 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 6.30 5.68 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.35 1.31 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.10 1.08 92% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.58 1.66 59% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.10 1.11 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.08 1.07 85% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Double Chance X2 3.60 3.34 25% Cashed +2.60 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.30 1.30 67% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Away Win 9.50 8.77 8% Cashed +8.50 Cashed
AH Away 0 7.00 6.10 8% Cashed +6.00 Cashed
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 8 L +11.18u +75% ROI