P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Burnley — Wolves

Match Burnley vs Wolves May 24, 2026

Burnley
Burnley
Home · last 5 L L D L D
Kick-off
Sun 24 May · 15:00
1:1
Full-time
Wolves
Wolves
L D L D D Away · last 5
Turf Moor · Burnley Referee A. Kitchen
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 55% · book 2.18
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 51% · book 2.38
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 49% · book 2.46
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.06 – 2.05
Δ −0.99
Possession
70% – 30%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Burnley hold a clear quality edge and a solid defensive setup that could frustrate Wolves, who have struggled to convert chances recently. The home side's compact block and home momentum contrast with Wolves' patchy form and defensive vulnerabilities. Expect a cautious tempo with under 2.5 goals likely as both teams prioritize structure over flair.

  • Burnley's defensive resilience at Turf Moor
  • Wolves' inconsistent attack facing a tough defense
  • Low-scoring trend supported by recent form and odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

BUR 4-2-3-1 · WOL 3-4-2-1
Subs used · BUR
66' Amdouni ↑ · Mejbri
75' Ward-Prowse ↑ · Ugochukwu
75' Edwards ↑ · Tchaouna
84' Barnes ↑ · Flemming
84' Bruun Larsen ↑ · Anthony
Subs used · WOL
66' Toti ↑ · Krejci
66' Arokodare ↑ · Gomes
74' Bueno ↑ · M. Wolfe
74' Abbey ↑ · Armstrong
82' Lima ↑ · Gomes

📊 Statistics

BUR 11 WOL
70%
Possession (%)
30%
1.06
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.05
16
Total Shots
16
8
Shots on Target
4
2
Shots off Target
5
7
Shots Inside Box
10
7
Corner Kicks
7
0
Offsides
3
10
Fouls
11
87%
Pass Accuracy (%)
74%
2
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
7

Match events

16 · 1 – 1
5'
A. Armstrong (P)
Penalty · 0–1
41'
Hwang Hee-Chan
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 1
Z. Flemming
Assist · L. Tchaouna · 1–1
47'
H. Mejbri
Yellow Card
45+9'
66'
Toti ↓ · L. Krejci ↑
Substitution 1
Z. Amdouni ↓ · H. Mejbri ↑
Substitution 1
66'
66'
T. Arokodare ↓ · A. Gomes ↑
Substitution 2
74'
H. Bueno ↓ · D. M. Wolfe ↑
Substitution 3
74'
J. Abbey ↓ · A. Armstrong ↑
Substitution 4
J. Ward-Prowse ↓ · L. Ugochukwu ↑
Substitution 2
75'
M. Edwards ↓ · L. Tchaouna ↑
Substitution 3
75'
82'
Pedro Lima ↓ · R. Gomes ↑
Substitution 5
A. Barnes ↓ · Z. Flemming ↑
Substitution 4
84'
J. Bruun Larsen ↓ · J. Anthony ↑
Substitution 5
84'
A. Barnes
Yellow Card
90+4'
90+4'
Y. Mosquera
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.18 2.00 55% Cashed +1.18 Cashed
BTTS No 2.38 2.19 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.46 2.48 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.80 1.82 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.62 1.54 51% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.79 1.83 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.62 1.66 49% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.80 3.00 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.17 2.07 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.44 1.35 76% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.45 1.40 74% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
Under 0.5 13.40 10.99 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.33 4.00 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.98 2.80 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.66 3.34 25% Cashed +2.66 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 1.02 87% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.22 1.23 68% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −2.77u −16% ROI