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Prognosist
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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football England Premier League Leeds — Brighton

Match Leeds vs Brighton May 17, 2026

Leeds
Leeds
Home · last 5 D W D W L
Kick-off
Sun 17 May · 14:00
1:0
Full-time
Brighton
Brighton
W L W L L Away · last 5
Elland Road · Leeds Referee M. Oliver
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 52% · book 2.25
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 44% · book 2.27
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 42% · book 2.40
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
0.76 – 2.70
Δ −1.94
Possession
34% – 66%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Brighton carry a quality edge into Elland Road, with a stronger overall squad and a slight attacking advantage against Leeds' defense. Despite Leeds' solid recent form and home momentum, Brighton's pressing and tactical discipline could challenge the hosts' compact block. The match hints at a balanced pace with moderate goal potential, as both sides have shown resilience and ability to control tempo.

  • Brighton's defensive solidity may limit Leeds' offensive chances.
  • Leeds' home form suggests they can exploit set-piece opportunities.
  • Recent encounters show competitive but low-scoring battles.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

LEE 3-5-2 · BRI 4-2-3-1
Subs used · LEE
60' Gnonto ↑ · James
60' Longstaff ↑ · Tanaka
60' Nmecha ↑ · Aaronson
74' Piroe ↑ · Stach
90+1' Byram ↑ · Bornauw
Subs used · BRI
65' Rutter ↑ · Welbeck
65' Gomez ↑ · Veltman
82' Ayari ↑ · Baleba
82' Kostoulas ↑ · Hinshelwood
90+3' March ↑ · Minteh

📊 Statistics

LEE 10 BRI
34%
Possession (%)
66%
0.76
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.70
7
Total Shots
19
1
Shots on Target
8
3
Shots off Target
6
3
Shots Inside Box
15
7
Corner Kicks
8
3
Offsides
2
9
Fouls
7
67%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
1
Yellow Cards
0
7
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

12 · 1 – 0
Half-time · 0 – 0
W. Gnonto ↓ · D. James ↑
Substitution 1
60'
S. Longstaff ↓ · A. Tanaka ↑
Substitution 2
60'
L. Nmecha ↓ · B. Aaronson ↑
Substitution 3
60'
65'
G. Rutter ↓ · D. Welbeck ↑
Substitution 1
65'
D. Gomez ↓ · J. Veltman ↑
Substitution 2
J. Piroe ↓ · A. Stach ↑
Substitution 4
74'
82'
Y. Ayari ↓ · C. Baleba ↑
Substitution 3
82'
C. Kostoulas ↓ · J. Hinshelwood ↑
Substitution 4
S. Byram ↓ · S. Bornauw ↑
Substitution 5
90+1'
90+3'
S. March ↓ · Y. Minteh ↑
Substitution 5
D. Calvert-Lewin
1–0
90+6'
D. Calvert-Lewin
Yellow Card
90+7'
Full-time · 1 – 0

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.25 2.10 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.27 2.00 44% Cashed +1.27 Cashed
BTTS No 2.40 2.23 42% Cashed +1.40 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.74 1.80 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.80 3.00 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.66 1.58 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.72 1.70 48% Cashed +0.72 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.42 2.45 23% Cashed +1.42 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.38 1.33 77% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.50 1.40 66% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.57 1.62 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.50 4.00 22% Cashed +3.50 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 1.04 94% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.20 1.25 78% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 15.00 10.99 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.68 3.55 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.35 3.34 23% Cashed +2.35 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +2.19u +13% ROI